Research Article
A Novel Multilevel-SVD Method to Improve Multistep Ahead Forecasting in Traffic Accidents Domain
Table 4
Multistep MIMO forecasting results, nRMSE, mNSE, and mIA for I-G3.
| h (week) | nRMSE | mNSE(%) | mIA(%) | MSVD + AR | SWT + AR | SWT + ANN | MSVD + AR | SWT + AR | SWT + ANN | MSVD + AR | SWT + AR | SWT + ANN |
| 1 | 0.0001 | 0.48 | 0.46 | 99.9 | 97.7 | 97.6 | 99.9 | 98.9 | 98.8 | 2 | 0.0020 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 99.9 | 98.0 | 97.9 | 99.9 | 99.0 | 98.9 | 3 | 0.0005 | 0.57 | 0.52 | 99.9 | 97.2 | 97.3 | 99.9 | 98.6 | 98.6 | 4 | 0.0007 | 0.57 | 1.58 | 99.9 | 97.3 | 91.9 | 99.9 | 98.6 | 95.9 | 5 | 0.0004 | 0.72 | 3.76 | 99.9 | 96.5 | 81.4 | 99.9 | 98.3 | 90.7 | 6 | 0.0015 | 0.63 | 7.03 | 99.9 | 96.9 | 65.6 | 99.9 | 98.4 | 82.8 | 7 | 0.0052 | 0.82 | 9.54 | 99.9 | 96.1 | 53.2 | 99.9 | 98.0 | 76.6 | 8 | 0.0165 | 0.82 | 9.63 | 99.9 | 96.1 | 52.4 | 99.9 | 98.1 | 76.2 | 9 | 0.0482 | 7.83 | — | 99.8 | 62.5 | — | 99.9 | 81.3 | — | 10 | 0.1303 | 6.59 | — | 99.4 | 67.7 | — | 99.7 | 83.9 | — | 11 | 0.3293 | 8.44 | — | 98.4 | 59.6 | — | 99.2 | 79.8 | — | 12 | 0.7864 | 7.96 | — | 96.2 | 61.8 | — | 98.1 | 80.9 | — | 13 | 1.7868 | 13.04 | — | 91.4 | 35.0 | — | 95.7 | 67.5 | — | 14 | 3.8944 | — | — | 81.4 | — | — | 90.7 | — | — |
| Min | 0.0001 | 0.56 | 0.41 | 81.4 | 35.0 | 52.4 | 90.7 | 67.5 | 76.2 | Max | 3.89 | 19.6 | 9.6 | 99.9 | 98.0 | 97.9 | 99.9 | 99.0 | 98.9 | Mean 1–8 | 0.003 | 0.63 | 4.12 | 99.9 | 96.9 | 79.7 | 99.9 | 98.5 | 89.8 | Mean 1–13 | 0.24 | 5.46 | — | 98.9 | 81.7 | — | 99.4 | 90.9 | — | Mean 1–14 | 0.5 | — | — | 97.6 | — | — | 98.8 | — | — |
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