Research Article
Modeling and Estimation of CO2 Emissions in China Based on Artificial Intelligence
Table 3
The forecasting scenarios of the social and economic indicators related to CO2 emissions for China (from 2018 to 2022).
| Scenario | Year | FCC (%) | PC (kw·h) | OC (kgoe) | GDP (yuan) | |
| Scenario (a) | 2018 | 24.5784 | 4.5917 × 103 | 2.4699 × 103 | 8.5927 × 1013 | 1.4209 × 109 | 2019 | 27.0412 | 5.3402 × 103 | 2.5349 × 103 | 8.9267 × 1013 | 1.4562 × 109 | 2020 | 29.7507 | 5.7591 × 103 | 2.6017 × 103 | 9.2737 × 1013 | 1.4925 × 109 | 2021 | 32.7318 | 6.2108 × 103 | 2.6701 × 103 | 9.6342 × 1013 | 1.5296 × 109 | 2022 | 36.0117 | 6.698 × 103 | 2.7404 × 103 | 1.0008 × 1014 | 1.5676 × 109 |
| Scenario (b) | 2018 | 23.6613 | 4.9553 × 103 | 2.4978 × 103 | 9.4060 × 1013 | 1.4016 × 109 | 2019 | 25.0608 | 5.3478 × 103 | 2.5925 × 103 | 1.0697 × 1014 | 1.4169 × 109 | 2020 | 26.5432 | 5.7714 × 103 | 2.6908 × 103 | 1.2164 × 1014 | 1.4324 × 109 | 2021 | 28.1132 | 6.2286 × 103 | 2.7928 × 103 | 1.3833 × 1014 | 1.4481 × 109 | 2022 | 29.7762 | 6.7219 × 103 | 2.8986 × 103 | 1.5731 × 1014 | 1.4639 × 109 |
| Scenario (c) | 2018 | 22.3593 | 4.6599 × 103 | 2.4139 × 103 | 8.4858 × 1013 | 1.3931 × 109 | 2019 | 22.3788 | 4.7293 × 103 | 2.4214 × 103 | 8.7059 × 1013 | 1.3997 × 109 | 2020 | 22.3983 | 4.7997 × 103 | 2.4288 × 103 | 8.9318 × 1013 | 1.4065 × 109 | 2021 | 22.4179 | 4.8712 × 103 | 2.4362 × 103 | 8.1635 × 1013 | 1.4132 × 109 | 2022 | 22.4375 | 4.9437 × 103 | 2.4437 × 103 | 8.4012 × 1013 | 1.4201 × 109 |
| Scenario (d) | 2018 | 47.5238 | 5.301 × 103 | 2.7332 × 103 | 1.1277 × 1014 | 1.4209 × 109 | 2019 | 101.0978 | 6.1202 × 103 | 3.1039 × 103 | 1.5375 × 1014 | 1.4562 × 109 | 2020 | 215.0663 | 7.0658 × 103 | 3.5251 × 103 | 2.0963 × 1014 | 1.4925 × 109 | 2021 | 457.5122 | 8.1576 × 103 | 4.0035 × 103 | 2.8582 × 1014 | 1.5296 × 109 | 2022 | 973.2694 | 9.4181 × 103 | 4.5466 × 103 | 3.8968 × 1014 | 1.5676 × 109 |
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