Research Article

Modeling and Estimation of CO2 Emissions in China Based on Artificial Intelligence

Table 3

The forecasting scenarios of the social and economic indicators related to CO2 emissions for China (from 2018 to 2022).

ScenarioYearFCC (%)PC (kw·h)OC (kgoe)GDP (yuan)

Scenario (a)201824.57844.5917 × 1032.4699 × 1038.5927 × 10131.4209 × 109
201927.04125.3402 × 1032.5349 × 1038.9267 × 10131.4562 × 109
202029.75075.7591 × 1032.6017 × 1039.2737 × 10131.4925 × 109
202132.73186.2108 × 1032.6701 × 1039.6342 × 10131.5296 × 109
202236.01176.698 × 1032.7404 × 1031.0008 × 10141.5676 × 109

Scenario (b)201823.66134.9553 × 1032.4978 × 1039.4060 × 10131.4016 × 109
201925.06085.3478 × 1032.5925 × 1031.0697 × 10141.4169 × 109
202026.54325.7714 × 1032.6908 × 1031.2164 × 10141.4324 × 109
202128.11326.2286 × 1032.7928 × 1031.3833 × 10141.4481 × 109
202229.77626.7219 × 1032.8986 × 1031.5731 × 10141.4639 × 109

Scenario (c)201822.35934.6599 × 1032.4139 × 1038.4858 × 10131.3931 × 109
201922.37884.7293 × 1032.4214 × 1038.7059 × 10131.3997 × 109
202022.39834.7997 × 1032.4288 × 1038.9318 × 10131.4065 × 109
202122.41794.8712 × 1032.4362 × 1038.1635 × 10131.4132 × 109
202222.43754.9437 × 1032.4437 × 1038.4012 × 10131.4201 × 109

Scenario (d)201847.52385.301 × 1032.7332 × 1031.1277 × 10141.4209 × 109
2019101.09786.1202 × 1033.1039 × 1031.5375 × 10141.4562 × 109
2020215.06637.0658 × 1033.5251 × 1032.0963 × 10141.4925 × 109
2021457.51228.1576 × 1034.0035 × 1032.8582 × 10141.5296 × 109
2022973.26949.4181 × 1034.5466 × 1033.8968 × 10141.5676 × 109