Research Article

The Triglyceride and Glucose Index Is a Predictor of Incident Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: A Population-Based Cohort Study

Table 3

Hazard ratios of incident NAFLD.

MenModel 1Model 2Model 3

Age, years1.00 (1.00–1.01)0.3191.01 (1.00–1.01)0.0471.01 (1.00–1.01)0.007
TyG-index tertiles:
Highest (8.48 ≤ TyG)2.69 (2.35–3.08)<0.0012.01 (1.75–2.31)<0.0011.93 (1.68–2.22)<0.001
Middle (8.00 ≤ TyG < 8.48)1.64 (1.42–1.89)<0.0011.44 (1.25–1.67)<0.0011.42 (1.23–1.64)<0.001
Lowest (TyG < 8.00)RefRefRef
BMI (kg/m2)1.22 (1.20–1.24)<0.0011.21 (1.18–1.23)<0.001
Log (alcohol consumption + 1)0.91 (0.89–0.93)<0.0010.91 (0.89–0.93)<0.001
Exercise, yes0.77 (0.67–0.88)<0.0010.78 (0.68–0.89)<0.001
Past-smoker0.98 (0.86–1.11)0.7570.98 (0.86–1.11)0.734
Current-smoker0.92 (0.82–1.03)0.1420.92 (0.82–1.03)0.139
Alanine transaminase (IU/L)1.01 (1.01–1.01)<0.001

WomenModel 1Model 2Model 3

Age, years1.03 (1.02–1.04)<0.0011.03 (1.02–1.04)<0.0011.03 (1.02–1.04)<0.001
TyG-index tertiles:
Highest (7.97 ≤ TyG)3.94 (3.08–5.12)<0.0012.47 (1.92–3.22)<0.0012.46 (1.91–3.21)<0.001
Middle (7.53 ≤ TyG < 7.97)1.95 (1.49–2.57)<0.0011.59 (1.22–2.10)<0.0011.59 (1.22–2.10)<0.001
Lowest (TyG < 7.53)RefRefRef
BMI (kg/m2)1.32 (1.29–1.35)<0.0011.32 (1.29–1.35)<0.001
Log (alcohol consumption + 1)0.94 (0.89–0.99)0.0130.94 (0.89–0.99)0.013
Exercise, yes0.92 (0.73–1.13)0.4260.92 (0.73–1.13)0.436
Past-smoker0.93 (0.62–1.32)0.6860.93 (0.62–1.32)0.685
Current-smoker1.13 (0.83–1.51)0.4051.14 (0.83–1.51)0.406
Alanine transaminase (IU/L)1.00 (1.00–1.01)0.099

The analysis of past and current smokers used nonsmoker as the reference. The analysis of the TyG-index used the lowest TyG-index tertile as the reference.