Effect of Rising Temperature on Lyme Disease: Ixodes scapularis Population Dynamics and Borrelia burgdorferi Transmission and Prevalence

Figure 5

Response of tick-based risk measures to increasing temperature, as percent of control ( = 0, historical temperature). (a) Number of infected nymphs per day averaged over the last year of the simulation, scaled by the same quantity for  = 0 (no temperature rise), i.e., . (b) Number of infected adults per day (averaged and scaled to  = 0), i.e., . (c) Percent nymphs infected (averaged and scaled to  = 0), i.e., . (d) Percent adults infected (averaged and scaled to  = 0), i.e., .

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