Deterministic and Stochastic Dynamics of COVID-19: The Case Study of Italy and Spain

<div>Distributions of symptomatic infected population <svg height="11.8174pt" id="M282" style="vertical-align:-3.1815pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 9.78276 11.8174" width="9.78276pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M405 650H141L135 622C222 616 230 610 215 535L133 116C118 41 113 33 29 28L23 0H289L295 28C209 33 205 40 219 116L298 535C312 609 317 616 399 622L405 650Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,4.719,3.132)"><path d="M389 0V32C297 38 291 46 291 118V635C234 613 175 595 109 583V556L161 554C203 552 207 547 207 497V118C207 46 201 38 110 32V0H389Z"></path></g></svg> and <svg height="11.8174pt" id="M283" style="vertical-align:-3.1815pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 9.78276 11.8174" width="9.78276pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M405 650H141L135 622C222 616 230 610 215 535L133 116C118 41 113 33 29 28L23 0H289L295 28C209 33 205 40 219 116L298 535C312 609 317 616 399 622L405 650Z"></path></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,4.719,3.132)"><path d="M414 144C384 79 371 75 317 75H135L276 221C367 316 408 376 408 465C408 570 327 635 237 635C179 635 131 609 100 575L42 494L67 471C94 510 138 565 205 565C277 565 321 517 321 435C321 348 258 270 195 195C146 137 88 81 33 26V0H411C423 44 433 88 446 135L414 144Z"></path></g></svg> on days 50, 80, and 120 (Spain).</div>

Computational and Mathematical Methods

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Figure 11

Figure 11: Deterministic and Stochastic Dynamics of COVID-19: The Case Study of Italy and Spain 