Review Article

Investigation on Cardiovascular Risk Prediction Using Physiological Parameters

Table 2

Sample of cohort studies reporting the independent predictive values of stress ECG measures.

Markers Population characteristics (no.)Age (y) at entryFollowup (y)CovariatesEnd events (no.)Model basedPrognostic valueDiscrimination,
calibration, and reclassification
Reference

Chronotropic response < 89 bpmMen in Paris civil service (5713) 42–53 23 NonSudden death from MI (81) Cox modelRR = 6.18NR [88]
heart rate recovery < 25 bpmRR = 2.20NR

ECG score (75th versus 25th percentile)Patients without known CV disease (18964) 51 (mean)10.7Age, sex, smoking, diabetes, hypertension, and so forth.All-cause mortality (1585)Cox modelHR = 1.36C index = 0.84, increased by 0.04 compared with established risk factors[83]

Duke treadmill scorePatients with suspected CAD and normal ECG (33268) 52 6.2 NonAll-cause mortality (1619) nomogram-illustrated modelNRC index = 0.73 [89]
nomogram-illustrated modelNRC index = 0.83

NR: not report; CAD: coronary artery disease; CV: cardiovascular.