Research Article

Mathematical Modeling of the HIV/Kaposi’s Sarcoma Coinfection Dynamics in Areas of High HIV Prevalence

Table 1

Parameter values and their estimates.

Parameter Symbol Value Source

HIV rate of transmission 0.4801* Baggaley et al. [5],
Boily et al. [6]
Death due to AIDS 0.333 Malunguza et al. [7],
Mukandavire et al. [8]
Death due to AIDS with KS 0.067* Malunguza et al. [7],
Mukandavire et al. [8]
Rate of KS acquisition among HIV-infected cohort 0.001 Assumed
Rate of KS acquisition among pre-AIDS cohort 0.002 Assumed
Rate of KS acquisition among AIDS cohort 0.003 Assumed
Relative HIV infectiousness of an HIV-infected individual 0.8 Assumed
Relative HIV infectiousness of a coinfected individual 1.1 Assumed
Relative HIV infectiousness of a pre-AIDS individual 1.2 Assumed
Relative HIV infectiousness of an AIDS individual 1.3 Assumed
Recruitment rate of sexually mature individuals 800* Barley et al. [9],
Malunguza et al. [7]
Mukandavire et al. [8, 10, 11]
Natural mortality rate 0.02 Mukandavire et al. [8]
Treatment rate of infected and coinfected cohorts Varies Assumed
Treatment rate of pre-AIDS and pre-AIDS coinfected cohorts Varies Assumed
Natural progression to pre-AIDS 0.01 Assumed
Rate of acute KS development in coinfected cohort 0.0001 Assumed
Rate of acute KS development in pre-AIDS coinfected cohort 0.0002 Assumed
Rate of acute KS development in AIDS coinfected cohort 0.0003 Assumed
Natural progression to AIDS 0.1 Mukandavire et al. [8, 10, 11]
Natural progression to AIDS after treatment 0.1 Assumed

Denotes a parameter obtained by modifying a value in the given source.