Research Article

Computational Modeling of Interventions and Protective Thresholds to Prevent Disease Transmission in Deploying Populations

Table 4

Model parameters for hepatitis A transmission model.

ParameterDescriptionValueSource

Inward troop rotation rateVaries over duration of deployment[3, 16]
Outward troop rotation rateVaries over duration of deployment[3, 16]
Effective transmission rate within unit Function of attack rate
Effective transmission rate between units and Function of attack and contact rates
Effective transmission rate between unit and local populationFunction of attack rate, contact rate, and local measles incidence
Effective transmission rate due to environmental exposureFunction of attack rate, consumption of local food, and proportion of local food that is contaminated
Proportion of infections that are asymptomatic85% (76%–97%)[44]
Proportional reduction in infectivity for asymptomatic individuals10% (0%–25%)[44]
Hepatitis A attack rate (soldiers) via direct transmission0.82% (0.82%–1.3%)[44]
Hepatitis A attack rate (soldiers) via environmental consumption2.2% (2.2%–3.5%)[44]
Contact rate with local population for unit Varies by unit
Contact rate between unit and unit Varies by unit
Contact rate with environmental reservoirVaries by unit
incLOCALHepatitis A incidence rate for local populationVaries over duration of deployment[5153]
Vaccination rate for unit (90% vaccine efficacy)Scenario-dependent
Duration of lag prior to full vaccine-induced immunity30 days[44]
Background casualty rate for all units0.0007825 1/day[16]
Hepatitis A case fatality rate0.3% (0.1%–0.8%)[8, 45, 46]
Duration of hepatitis A incubation period14 days[41, 42]
Duration of hepatitis A infectious period21 days[42, 54]
Proportion of local food that is contaminated20% (5%–50%)Estimated