Research Article
Application of a Hybrid Method Combining Grey Model and Back Propagation Artificial Neural Networks to Forecast Hepatitis B in China
Table 1
The prediction created by the GM (1, 1), GM (2, 1), and the proposal model.
| Year | The observed data | GM (1, 1) | GM (2, 1) | The proposal method |
| 2003 | 719011 | 924130 | 882183 | 736600 | 2004 | 916396 | 949918 | 1036306 | 884300 | 2005 | 982297 | 976426 | 1133758 | 1027700 | 2006 | 1109130 | 1003674 | 1183850 | 1096300 | 2007 | 1169946 | 1031682 | 1201811 | 1118200 | 2008 | 1169569 | 1060471 | 1198178 | 1124300 | 2009 | 1179607 | 1090065 | 1180237 | 1125900 | 2010 | 1060582 | 1120484 | 1153018 | 1126400 | 2011 | 1093335 | 1151751 | 1119982 | 1126500 | 2012 | 1087086 | 1183892 | 1083509 | 1126500 |
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