Prediction Accuracy in Multivariate Repeated-Measures Bayesian Forecasting Models with Examples Drawn from Research on Sleep and Circadian Rhythms

Figure 4

Subject-specific parameter pairs, simulated from a probability distribution specified by (24), from which a simulated individual was selected for a bivariate Bayesian forecasting simulation. Each number represents the parameter pair for a different simulated individual. The circled individual (#19) is used for the illustration in Figure 5. The diagonal line shows where the points would fall given a between-subjects correlation of .