Research Article

The Modelling of Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in Contaminated Environments in Bangkok, Thailand

Table 1

Definitions of parameters in HFMD model.

ParameterDefinitions (unit)ValueReferences

Birth rate (/day)252Estimated
The natural death rate and the rate at which children become adults0.000267Assumption
The transmission rate between and 0.229fitting
The transmission rate between and 0.492fitting
The average incubation period (day)2.75fitting
The rate of progression to hospitalized individuals (/day)0.749fitting
The fraction of those becoming infectious with symptoms0.421fitting
The fraction of infectious individuals being hospitalized 0.967fitting
The recovery rate of infectious patients with symptoms (/day)0.021fitting
The recovery rate of hospitalized individuals (/day)0.782fitting
The recovery rate of infectious without symptoms (/day)0.318fitting
The rate from recovered to again susceptible (/day)1/100[14]
The virus shedding from infectious individuals with symptoms (/day)457.504fitting
The virus shedding from infectious individuals without symptoms (/day)22.443fitting
The indirect transmission rate (/day)1.0 Ɨ 10āˆ’6fitting
The clearance pathogen rate (/day)698.077fitting