Comparing Strategies to Prevent Stroke and Ischemic Heart Disease in the Tunisian Population: Markov Modeling Approach Using a Comprehensive Sensitivity Analysis Algorithm
Table 1
Life years and deaths due to stroke and IHD estimations in 2025 keeping the same practices of 2005 by gender.
Life years [95% CI]
Stroke and IHD deaths [95% CI]
Men
Acute stroke treatment
80 [70 to 100]
−140 [−170 to −120]
Secondary prevention following stroke
1500 [1420 to 1580]
−1170 [−1240 to −1110]
Primary prevention
12180 [11960 to 12400]
−16760 [−17020 to −16510]
Policy total
6830 [6700 to 6990]
−8530 [−8710 to −8340]
Women
Acute stroke treatment
60 [50 to 80]
−80 [−100 to −70]
Secondary prevention following stroke
860 [800 to 920]
−720 [−770 to −670]
Primary prevention
2410 [2310 to 2510]
−3570 [−3690 to −3450]
Policy total
3730 [3610 to 3850]
−4860 [−5000 to −4720]
Both
Acute stroke treatment
150 [130 to 1804]
−230 [−260 to −200]
Secondary prevention following stroke
2390 [2300 to 2490]
−1920 [−2000 to −1830]
Primary prevention
14590 [14350 to 14820]
−20330 [−20610 to −20050]
Policy total
10560 [10360 to 10770]
−13380 [−13610 to −13160]
Total policy refers to the combined effects of all the three previous strategies: acute treatment + secondary prevention + primary prevention.
