Research Article

Mathematical Modelling of COVID-19 Transmission in Kenya: A Model with Reinfection Transmission Mechanism

Table 2

Desription of model parameters.

ParameterDescriptionUnits

βEffective contact rate (contact capable of leading to COVID-19 transmission)Day−1
The fraction of the members of the public who correctly and consistently wear masks in public.Day−1
κProportion of the population who strictly observe social/physical distanceDay−1
Modificationn parameters for the assumed reduction of infectiousness among infectious asymptomatic individuals, mild-symptomatic individuals and hospitalized individualsDay−1
qMeasure of efficacy of contact tracing of asymptomatic humans and hospitalization in preventing COVID-19 transmission 0≤q≤1Day−1
fProportion of exposed individuals who progress to infectious asymptomatic class after incubation periodDay−1
(1−f)Proportion of exposed humans who progress to a class of infectious individuals with mild symptoms after incubation periodDay−1
Intrinsic incubation period for individuals exposed to COVID-19Day−1
Duration of COVID-19 protective immunityDay−1
Rate at which infectious asymptomatic humans develop COVID-19 mild symptoms and move to Im classDay−1
αRepresents the rate at which infectious asymptomatic individuals are detected via contact tracing, tested and isolated at home (home-based care) or quarantined such that they have no contact with the susceptible humansDay−1
vRate at which infectious humans with mild symptoms develop severe symptoms and move to is classDay−1
Respectively, represent recovery rates for individuals in the Ia, Im, H, Id classesDay−1
η12Respectively, represent the rate at which individuals with mild COVID-19 symptoms and individuals with severe COVID-19 symptoms are hospitalizedDay−1
θModification parameter accounting for partial protection against COVID-19 reinfection among individuals with weak or no protective immunity 0≤1Day−1
da,dm,ds,dd,dhRespectively represent COVID-19 induced mortality rates for individuals in the Ia,Im,Is,Id,H classesDay−1