Mathematical Modelling of COVID-19 Transmission in Kenya: A Model with Reinfection Transmission Mechanism
Table 2
Desription of model parameters.
Parameter
Description
Units
β
Effective contact rate (contact capable of leading to COVID-19 transmission)
Day−1
The fraction of the members of the public who correctly and consistently wear masks in public.
Day−1
κ
Proportion of the population who strictly observe social/physical distance
Day−1
Modificationn parameters for the assumed reduction of infectiousness among infectious asymptomatic individuals, mild-symptomatic individuals and hospitalized individuals
Day−1
q
Measure of efficacy of contact tracing of asymptomatic humans and hospitalization in preventing COVID-19 transmission 0≤q≤1
Day−1
f
Proportion of exposed individuals who progress to infectious asymptomatic class after incubation period
Day−1
(1−f)
Proportion of exposed humans who progress to a class of infectious individuals with mild symptoms after incubation period
Day−1
Intrinsic incubation period for individuals exposed to COVID-19
Day−1
Duration of COVID-19 protective immunity
Day−1
Rate at which infectious asymptomatic humans develop COVID-19 mild symptoms and move to Im class
Day−1
α
Represents the rate at which infectious asymptomatic individuals are detected via contact tracing, tested and isolated at home (home-based care) or quarantined such that they have no contact with the susceptible humans
Day−1
v
Rate at which infectious humans with mild symptoms develop severe symptoms and move to is class
Day−1
Respectively, represent recovery rates for individuals in the Ia, Im, H, Id classes
Day−1
η1,η2
Respectively, represent the rate at which individuals with mild COVID-19 symptoms and individuals with severe COVID-19 symptoms are hospitalized
Day−1
θ
Modification parameter accounting for partial protection against COVID-19 reinfection among individuals with weak or no protective immunity 0<θ≤1
Day−1
da,dm,ds,dd,dh
Respectively represent COVID-19 induced mortality rates for individuals in the Ia,Im,Is,Id,H classes