The Impact of the Declaration of the State of Emergency on the Spread of COVID-19: A Modeling Analysis

<div>The simulation of the early transmission stages by the model. The real accumulated confirmed cases fit well with the simulated trend (a) and locate in the 95% CI of simulated trend (b).</div>

Computational and Mathematical Methods in Medicine

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Figure 3

Figure 3: The Impact of the Declaration of the State of Emergency on the Spread of COVID-19: A Modeling Analysis 