Estimating the Number of COVID-19 Cases and Impact of New COVID-19 Variants and Vaccination on the Population in Kerman, Iran: A Mathematical Modeling Study

Table 1

Calibrated contact rate, self-isolation rate, and the average vaccination shots per day before August 30, 2021, in Kerman, Iran.

Date	Calibrated model
	Contact rate	Self-isolation rate (%)	Average vaccination shots per day
Feb 4, 2020, to Feb 19, 2020	13	10%	0
Feb 20, 2020, to Feb29, 2020	12	10%	0
Mar 1, 2020, to Mar 10, 2020	10	15%	0
Mar 11, 2020, to Mar 20, 2020	8	20%	0
Mar 21, 2020, to Apr 4, 2020	6	30%	0
Apr 4, 2020, to Apr 19, 2020	5	30%	0
Apr 19, 2020, to Apr 29, 2020	6	45%	0
Apr 30, 2020, to May 8, 2020	7	45%	0
May 9, 2020, to May 19, 2020	8	40%	0
May 19, 2020, to May 29, 2020	9	30%	0
May 30, 2020, to Jun 8, 2020	11	20%	0
Jun 9, 2020, to Jun 19, 2020	11	25%	0
Jun 20, 2020, to Jul 9, 2020	11	20%	0
Jul 10, 2020, to Jul 20, 2020	9	40%	0
Jul 21, 2020, to Jul 31, 2020	8	40%	0
Aug 1, 2020, to Aug 10, 2020	11	40%	0
Aug 11, 2020, to Aug 21, 2020	8	45%	0
Aug 21, 2020, to Sep 25, 2020	8	50%	0
Sep 26, 2020, to Oct 17, 2020	9	40%	0
Sep 29, 2020, to Nov 8, 2020	10	40%	0
Nov 8, 2020, to Jan 6, 2021	5	30%	0
Jan 7, 2021, to Feb 17, 2021	6	30%	120
Feb 18, 2021, to Mar 7, 2021	6	30%	120
Mar 8, 2021, to Apr 19, 2021	11	40%	120
Apr 20, 2021, to Apr 14, 2021	10	40%	1,000
Apr 15, 2021, to Jun 7, 2021	10	40%	1,000
Jun 8, 2021, to Jul 24, 2021	10	40%	200
Jul 26, 2021, to Aug 4, 2021	9	40%	4,000
Aug 5, 2021, to Aug 30, 2021	7	40%	13,000