Research Article

Simulating Systems Thinking under Bounded Rationality

Table 1

Winning/vulnerable rates for a single agent by agent type.

ā€‰Single loop learnerDouble loop learnerObserve 5Observe 30Rational without insuranceRational with insuranceAlways goFollow last weekOpposite of last week

Count300,000300,0006,0006,0006,0006,0006,0006,0006,000
Win24471531421,4943441,6452500133
Top19,3713,1011,1072,9201,1952,43677521479
Comp152,505152,7195,2295,7864,6615,4523,3283,4962,810
Vuln52,70933,46022542235971,8227241,078
PWin0.8%0.1%2.4%25%5.7%27%4.2%0.0%2.2%
PTop6.5%1.0%18%49%20%41%13%0.4%8.0%
PCmp51%51%87%96%78%91%56%58%47%
PVln18%11%3.8%0.7%3.9%1.6%30%12%18%