Research Article

A Method for Parameters Estimation in a Dynamical Model of Ebola Virus Transmission in Sierra Leone

Table 1

Description of parameters in model (1).

ParameterDescriptionValue95% confidence intervals

Transmission coefficient between communities and 0.9162[0.1173, 1.1247]
Transmission coefficient between communities and 0.8929[0.1341, 1.1803]
Transmission coefficient at the hospital0.1674[0.0623, 1.0713]
Transmission coefficient during the funerals0.2736[0.0887, 1.0665]
Misdiagnosed proportion in 0.657[0.1638, 0.6891]
Proportion of correctly diagnosed suspected cases that move to F0.1447[0.0531, 1.1805]
Proportion of exposed cases entering the compartment0.619[0.1008, 1.1189]
Proportion of infected and hospitalized0.0023[0.1476, 0.3507]
Time from suspected to susceptible1.59 days[0.0641, 1.002]
Average time from suspected to death4.88 days[0.0418, 1.0139]
Time from suspected to probable2.38 days[0.0661, 1.0172]
Time from exposed to probable1.0007 days[0.0611, 1.2091]
Time from exposed to suspected20.9 days[0.1053, 1.2612]
Time from probable to hospitalized3.56 days[0.2733, 0.5884]
Average time from hospitalization to death1.2 days[0.1109, 1.187]
Time from probable to removed5.69 days[0.1221, 1.1318]
Time from hospitalized to removed2.56 days[0.0844, 1.1501]
Average time from death to burial1.21 days[0.1323, 0.9899]
Time from probable to death1.11 days[0.0099, 1.183]
Mortality rate from probable to death0.5141[0.1219, 1.0691]
Mortality rate from hospitalized to death0.6214[0.0455, 1.1318]
Size of the Sierra Leone population6348350[47]