A Heterogeneous Branching Process with Immigration Modeling for COVID-19 Spreading in Local Communities in China

Figure 5

The time series for new cases and cumulative cases for different provinces. Legends for provinces are shown in subfigure (b). The total, immigrant, and local cases are considered, respectively. The rate of immigrant for simulations, which is the moving average of order 5 of the mean immigrant series of the four provinces, is as the red curve in (b). (a) Total. (b) Immigrant. (c) Local. (d) Total. (e) Immigrant. (f) Local.

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(b)

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