A Heterogeneous Branching Process with Immigration Modeling for COVID-19 Spreading in Local Communities in China

<table class="table-group" id="tab1"><tr><td><table class="table"><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="3"><hr/></td></tr><tr class="thead"><td class="align_left">Model</td><td class="align_center">SEIR</td><td class="align_center">Branching</td></tr><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="3"><hr/></td></tr><tr><td class="align_left" rowspan="2">Merit</td><td class="align_center" rowspan="2">Simple and easy for modeling the epidemic spreading with mean field approach under well mixture assumption</td><td class="align_center">(i) Flexible for modeling different sources of contact</td></tr><tr><td class="align_center">(ii) Flexible for specific transmission rules during the spreading</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left" colspan="3"><hr/></td></tr><tr><td class="align_left" rowspan="2">Limitation</td><td class="align_center">(i) Iteration procedure results in longer transmission chains</td><td class="align_center" rowspan="2">The simulating procedure is more complex for tracing every transmission tree</td></tr><tr><td class="align_center">(ii) It is difficult for modeling the agents with different sources of contact</td></tr><tr class="table-tr"><td colspan="3"><hr class="tbody-hr"/></td></tr></table></td></tr></table>

<div>The comparison of SEIR and branching in modeling COVID-19 in well-prevented regions.</div>

Complexity

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Table 1

Table 1: A Heterogeneous Branching Process with Immigration Modeling for COVID-19 Spreading in Local Communities in China 