Research Article

Booms and Busts in the Oil Market: Identifying Speculative Bubbles Using a Continuous-Time Dynamic System

Table 3

Time horizons of explosive behavior identified by SADF and GSADF methodologies.

SADFGSADF

Aug. 2005–Aug. 2006Oct. 2011–Apr. 2012Sep. 1990-Oct. 1990
Jun. 2007–Oct. 2008Aug. 2012-Sep. 2012Feb. 1991-Mar. 1991
Jun. 2009-Jul. 2009Jul. 2013-Aug. 2013Oct. 2004-Nov. 2004
Feb. 2011–Apr. 2011Feb. 2014-Mar. 2014Feb. 2005-Mar. 2005
Jul. 2011–Aug. 2012Jun. 2014-Jul. 2014May. 2005–Jan. 2006
Mar. 2006–Aug. 2006
Jul. 2007–Aug. 2008