Review Article

A Computational Turn in Policy Process Studies: Coevolving Network Dynamics of Policy Change

Table 1

Literature applying complexity science to the study of policy processes. Stream 1 (1–7) applies complexity science implicitly and conceptually. Stream 2 (8–26) applies complexity science explicitly and conceptually. Stream 3 (27–41) applies complexity science together with formal modeling.

#Reference titleReference numberImplicit or explicit use of complex systemType of contributionContributionFormal modeling

1Agenda dynamics and policy subsystems[51]ImplicitTheoryConceptualize abrupt policy changes whose emergence happens from the interactions of multiple adaptive agents. Cite complex system literature [52]NA
2Agendas, alternatives, and public policies[53]ImplicitTheoryConceptualize policymaking through multiple streams but discuss complexity theory in chapter 10 as a potential framework that can explain sudden, nonlinear change in policymakingNA
3Policy feedback theory[54]ImplicitTheoryDescribe feedback loop between policy outcome and policy processesNA
4A river runs through it: a multiple streams metareview[55]ImplicitTheory; reviewDescribe interplay of actor and environment to explain policymaking; report 88% of studies are qualitativeNA
5Policy learning and policy Change: theorizing their relations from different perspectives[56]ImplicitTheory; reviewDescribe adaptive behavior of individuals and groupsNA
6Common approaches for studying advocacy: review of methods and model practices of the advocacy coalition framework[57]ImplicitTheory; reviewDescribe the use of coevolutionary coalitions to explain policy processes; report that 70 to 100% of analyses are qualitativeNA
7Punctuated equilibrium theory: explaining stability and change in public policymaking[3]ImplicitTheoryDescribe power-law in budget changes and theorize positive and negative feedback loops at the microlevel
NA
8Nonequilibrium theory and its implications for public administration[58]ExplicitTheoryConceptualize policymaking and public administration through the lens of dynamic and nonequilibrium systemsNA
9Managing uncertainties in networks a network approach to problem solving and decision making[59]ExplicitTheoryConceptualize policymaking as set of networks and where policy change depends on the adaptation of networks to exogenous eventsNA
10Governance, complexity, and democratic participation[60]ExplicitTheoryApply complexity theory to policymaking in urban environment, both understand processes and consequencesNA
11Managing complex governance systems[61]ExplicitTheoryCollect frameworks that apply complexity theory to policymaking, notably nonlinear dynamics, self-organization, and coevolutionNA
12Complexity theory and evolutionary public administration: a sceptical afterword[18]ExplicitTheoryFormulate a criticism of the current scholarship that applies complexity theory to policy processes and delineates avenues for further researchNA
13Complexity and public policy: a new approach to twenty-first-century politics[15]ExplicitTheoryMap properties of complex systems on the characteristics of public policy processes and discuss implicationsNA
14Complexity, institutions, and public policy[62]ExplicitTheoryApply complexity theory to institutionalism and discusses how this lens can help understand policy processes and as well as a policy evaluationNA
15Complexity theory in political science and public policy[14]ExplicitTheoryDiscuss the use of complexity to understand policy processes and implications for the fieldNA
16What is evolutionary theory and how does it inform policy studies[63]ExplicitTheoryDiscuss the use of evolutionary theory in policy process studies and present complexity theory as one approachNA
17A complexity theory for public policy[16]ExplicitTheoryMap properties of complex systems on the characteristics of public policy processes and discuss implicationsNA
18Complexity theory and its evolution in public administration and policy studies[64]ExplicitTheorySurvey the evolution of the application of complexity theory and proposes a four-stage model of such developmentsNA
19The emergence of complexity in the art and science of governance[65]ExplicitTheoryDiscuss applications of complexity theory to governance and propose methods to put concepts to the testNA
20How the complexity sciences can inform public administration: an assessment[66]ExplicitTheoryDiscuss major books published on complexity theory and public administration and public policy and delineate common themesNA
21Handbook of complexity and public policy[67]ExplicitTheory; reviewProvide an overview of the use of complexity theory to explain policy processes, and describe the use of agent-based modelsNA
22Agile actors on complex terrains: transformative realism and public policy[68]ExplicitTheoryApply ideas from complexity theory to public policy, including both policy processes and policy consequencesNA
23Complexity thinking in public administration’s theories-in-use[69]ExplicitTheorySurvey the use of complexity theory in public administration and how it is linked (or not) to established theoriesNA
24A critical discussion of complexity theory: how does “complexity thinking” improve our understanding of politics and policymaking?[19]ExplicitTheorySurvey applications of complexity theory and formulate a critique that they so far have are driven by hope rather than experience, and claim that complexity theory can serve as a bridge to communicate better between researchers and practitionersNA
25The new policy sciences: Combining the cognitive science of choice, multiple theories of context, and basic and applied analysis[1]ExplicitTheoryCover briefly how complexity theory fits in the policy sciencesNA
26Complexity theory in public administration[70]ExplicitTheoryProvide an overview of the latest discussions and applications of complexity theory to public administration, with content covering both policy processes and policy analysis.NA
27Adaptive parties in spatial elections[71]ExplicitExploratory modelingModel dynamic voting behavior between adaptive parties, with an unclear link with policy process theoriesAgent-based model
28Political complexity: nonlinear models of politics[72]ExplicitReview of modelsProvide an overview of models of politics, with unclear links to policy process theoriesVarious
29Abstention in dynamical models of spatial voting[73]ExplicitExploratory modelingModel dynamic voting behavior between adaptive parties, with an unclear link with policy process theoriesMathematical model
30Mixing beliefs among interacting agents[74]ExplicitExploratory modelingProvide a model of opinion dynamics in networks of agentsMathematical model
31Policy and the dynamics of political competition[75]ExplicitExploratory modelingConceptualize policymaking through an agent-based perspective on party competition where agents are adaptive and various processes are used to generate emergent policy change, with weak links to policy process theoriesAgent-based model
32Computational methods and models of politics[76]ExplicitReview of modelsReview of models of politics, mostly focusing on electoral systems and institutional designAgent-based model
33A tournament of party decision rules[77]ExplicitExploratory modelingConceptualize policymaking through repeated games with adaptive parties running for electionsAgent-based model
34Sociophysics: a review of Galam models[78]ExplicitReview of modelsReview 25 years of modeling attempts to understand democratic voting, decision-making fragmentation and coalition, and opinion dynamicsMathematical models
35MASON RebeLand : an agent-based model of politics, environment, and insurgency[79]ExplicitExploratory modelingFormalize a large-scale agent-based model with an unclear link to policy process theoriesAgent-based model
36Simulating political stability and change in The Netherlands (1998–2002)[80]ExplicitEmp.-validated modelingImplement a version of Kollman et al. [71] model and test it empiricallyAgent-based model
37Understanding collective decision making: a fitness landscape model approach[21]ExplicitEmp.-validated modelingPresent a model of collective decision-making using fitness landscapes and apply the model to empirical cases; reconcile micro and macrodynamics of how groups agents interact to solve collective problemsFitness landscapes
38Deep learning and punctuated equilibrium theory[22]ExplicitExploratory modelingModel patterns of policy attentionDeep neural networks
39Policy emergence: an agent-based approach[23]ExplicitExploratory modelingFormalize an agent-based model based on the combination of policy process theoriesAgent-based model
40Modeling contagion in policy systems[35]ExplicitExploratory modelingModel attention contagion in policy networks, with a clear link to policy process theoriesAgent-based model
41Association between decisions: experiments with coupled two-person games[81]ExplicitExploratory modelingProvide a game-theoretic model to explore decision-making between agents that meet in coevolving policy arenasGame-theoretic model