Echo- and B-Type Natriuretic Peptide-Guided Follow-Up versus Symptom-Guided Follow-Up: Comparison of the Outcome in Ambulatory Heart Failure Patients
Recent European Society of Cardiology and American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology Guidelines did not recommend biomarker-guided therapy in the management of heart failure (HF) patients. Combination of echo- and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) may be an alternative approach in guiding ambulatory HF management. Our aim was to determine whether a therapy guided by echo markers of left ventricular filling pressure (LVFP), lung ultrasound (LUS) assessment of B-lines, and BNP improves outcomes of HF patients. Consecutive outpatients with LV ejection fraction (EF) ≤ 50% have been prospectively enrolled. In Group I (), follow-up was guided by echo and BNP with the goal of achieving E-wave deceleration time (EDT) ≥ 150 ms, tissue Doppler index E/e′ < 13, B-line numbers < 15, and BNP ≤ 125 pg/ml or decrease >30%; in Group II (), follow-up was clinically guided, while the remaining 277 patients (Group III) did not receive any dedicated follow-up. At 60 months, survival was 88% in Group I compared to 75% in Group II and 54% in Group III (χ2 53.5; ). Survival curves exhibited statistically significant differences using Mantel–Cox analysis. The number needed to treat to spare one death was 7.9 (Group I versus Group II) and 3.8 (Group I versus Group III). At multivariate Cox regression analyses, major predictors of all-cause mortality were follow-up E/e′ (HR: 1.05; ) and BNP >125 pg/ml or decrease ≤30% (HR: 4.90; ), while BNP > 125 pg/ml or decrease ≤30% and B-line numbers ≥15 were associated with the combined end point of death and HF hospitalization. Evidence-based HF treatment guided by serum biomarkers and ultrasound with the goal of reducing elevated BNP and LVFP, and resolving pulmonary congestion was associated with better clinical outcomes and can be valuable in guiding ambulatory HF management.
Historically, the response to unloading therapy of elevated LV filling pressure (LVFP) has been identified as an important mode to risk stratify patients with heart failure (HF) who underwent right heart catheterization . Recent advances support the value natriuretic peptide (NP) circulating level assessment  and pulmonary artery pressure monitoring [3, 4] as tools for scrutinizing patients with impending clinically overt HF. It is well known that similar hemodynamic information to that provided by the invasive standard can be obtained noninvasively by Doppler echocardiography; particularly, an E-wave deceleration time (EDT) < 150 ms and a ratio of E/averaged myocardial early velocity (averaged E/e′) ≥ 13 have been found to reliably reflect increased LVFP and worse prognosis [5–7], whereas reversal of these alterations has been associated with more favorable outcomes [8, 9]. Combining lung ultrasound (LUS) assessment of B-lines with EDT and E/e′ may increase the diagnostic accuracy in estimating LVFP and in identifying pulmonary congestion . Therefore, the combination of Doppler echocardiographic markers of LVFP, LUS, and NPs may be potentially valuable in guiding ambulatory HF management, since they can be useful in distinguishing stable patients from those at high risk of decompensation, optimizing treatment, reducing hospitalization, and consequently improving prognosis [11, 12]. To investigate this concept, we compared the outcome of ambulatory patients with chronic HF and reduced or mildly reduced LV ejection fraction (EF) divided according to follow-up strategies: echo Doppler signs of elevated LVFP, LUS, and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP)-directed follow-up (Group I); symptom-guided follow-up (Group II); and no organized follow-up for cardiovascular care (Group III).
2. Materials and Methods
This observational study included consecutive ambulatory patients with chronic HF and reduced or mildly reduced LVEF. All patients underwent baseline evaluation by an experienced cardiologist, including blood tests and 12-lead ECG. Patients’ functional status was determined according to the classification of the New York Heart Association (NYHA). At baseline, complete M-mode, two-dimensional, and Doppler echocardiogram was carried out in all study patients according to the recommendations of the European Association of Echocardiography/American Association of Echocardiography .
The study population comprised of patients enrolled between 2001 and 2016:(1)Group I: 224 patients from the dedicated outpatient ambulatory of the Cardiovascular Division of the Cardiovascular and Thoracic Department of the University Hospital of Pisa, whose management was directed according to the presence of echo Doppler signs of elevated LVFP, LUS, and BNP levels. At each visit, patients were clinically assessed (history, clinical examination, NYHA class, and weight) and were classified according to the Framingham criteria . Blood was drawn for BNP assay and measure of renal function. An echocardiogram was carried out for assessing LVFP, as an adjunct to the physical examination in case of inconclusive signs and symptoms and BNP >125 pg/ml . The following Doppler echocardiographic findings were considered as surrogate markers of increased LVFP: E/e′ ≥ 13 and EDT < 150 ms. The echographic examination of the lungs for B-lines assessment was eventually performed, and patients were classified according to B-line numbers ≥15 and <15 . Therapeutic interventions were made according to a titration protocol (Figure 1). Our aim was to optimize treatment with neurohormonal drugs in compensated HF patients and to lower elevated BNP and LVFP and resolve pulmonary congestion in decompensated HF patients. The frequencies of follow-up visits were decided on the basis of physical, biochemical, and echographic findings.(2)Group II: 293 consecutive patients from the dedicated outpatient ambulatory of the HF Unit of the Cardiovascular and Thoracic Department of the University Hospital of Pisa, whose management was clinically guided according to a standardized protocol that included medical history, clinical examination, blood tests, and 12-lead ECG. These patients underwent an echocardiographic examination at baseline and again if clinical changes occurred. In this group, NPs were not systematically evaluated during follow-up. The frequencies of follow-up visits were based on clinical judgment.(3)Group III: 277 consecutive ambulatory patients from the Cardiovascular Division of Santa Chiara Hospital of Pisa. Patients of this group did not receive a specific follow-up for cardiovascular care and were mostly followed by their family physicians who were consulted in case of relapses.
The study was approved by the local institutional review boards. All patients gave written informed consent. The study was conducted in accordance with institutional policies, national legal requirements, and the revised Helsinki Declaration.
Information on patients’ outcomes was obtained through clinical visits, personal communication with general physicians, and telephone interviews with patients and relatives, by trained personnel. The primary study end point was all-cause mortality, and the secondary end point was the combination of death and hospitalization for worsening HF.
Data are summarized using frequencies (percentages) for categorical variables and mean ± standard deviation for continuous variables or median interquartile (IRQ) ranges, when appropriate. Differences between the three groups were tested by analysis of variance (ANOVA) using Bonferroni test. Demographic, clinical, and echo variables were evaluated for the end points in a univariable Cox proportional hazard model (95% confidence intervals). Variables showing significant association with outcome () were included in the multivariable Cox model to determine the ones independently related to prognosis. The cumulative survival probability was explored using the Kaplan–Meier method, followed by the log-rank test. Differences of survival curves were tested with Mantel–Cox statistic log-rank analysis. A value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. All analyses were performed using the IBM SPSS Software Package version 17.0.1.
Table 1 outlines the baseline demographic, clinical, and echocardiographic characteristics of the three groups. In Group I, baseline BNP was 290 pg/ml (IRQ: 163–571) and follow-up BNP at 6 ± 4 months was 155 pg/ml (IRQ: 58–333) (Mann–Whitney ).
Figure 2 shows percentages of patients of Group I that exhibited echo Doppler markers of raised LVFP and LUS B-line numbers ≥15 at baseline and after 6-month follow-up. Patients who had low BNP levels (≤125 pg/ml) at 6-month follow-up were 23%, 45% of patients had a 6-month decrease >30% from elevated BNP baseline levels, and 34% had elevated BNP levels (>125 pg/ml) at follow-up without any 6-month decrease >30% from their baseline value.
The median follow-up duration was 36 months (IRQ: 17–58) and was comparable in the three groups. Forty-nine events (23 deaths and 26 hospitalizations related to HF) occurred in Group I, 106 in Group II (66 deaths and 40 hospitalizations due to HF), and 152 in Group III (100 deaths and 52 hospitalizations due to HF), respectively. The mean number of follow-up visits/year was 2.5 ± 1.7 in Group I patients and 2.8 ± 1.7 in Group II patients.
At 60-month follow-up, survival free from all-cause mortality was 88% in Group I patients, 75% in Group II patients, and 54% in Group III patients (X2 53.5; ). Mantel–Cox analysis showed significant differences between Group I and Group II patients (X2 8.8; p = 0.003), between Group I and Group III patients (X2 46.2; ), and between Group II and Group III patients (X2 21.5; ) (Figure 3). The strategy based on echo and BNP improved the probability of survival by 12.5% versus the symptom-guided follow-up and by 40.7% versus the nonspecific follow-up care. The number needed to treat to spare one death was 8 (Group I versus Group II) and 4 (Group I versus Group III).
Survival free from all-cause mortality and HF-related hospitalization was 76% in Group I patients versus 64% in Group II patients and 36% of Group III patients (X2 72.4; ). Mantel–Cox analysis showed statistically significant differences between Group I and Group II patients (X2 8.1; ), between Group I and Group III patients (X2 59.2; ), and between Group II and Group III patients (X2 34.1; ) (Figure 3). The number needed to spare one event was 7 (Group I versus Group II) and 3 (Group I versus Group III).
The impact of Group I strategy on survival was evaluated by Cox analysis. Primary end point (all-cause mortality) results are shown in Table 2. Several univariate predictors of all-cause mortality were identified. However, only follow-up BNP >125 pg/ml and decrease ≤30%, averaged E/e′, and LVEF remained independently associated with outcome on multivariate analysis. The combined end point of death and HF hospitalization was associated with a number of variables on univariate analysis. Multivariate predictors of the combined end point are shown in Table 3. Particularly, BNP >125 pg/ml and decrease ≤30%, presence of ≥15 chest B-lines, and LVEF at follow-up were independently associated with the outcome.
As far as changes in medication during the observation period are concerned, the use of loop diuretics decreased by 11% in Group I and increased by 4.2% in Group II, beta-blocker use increased by 21.3% in Group I and by 0.9% in Group II, the use of ACE inhibitors or angiotensin receptor antagonists increased by 1.5% in Group I and decreased by 10.5% in Group II, and the use of mineralocorticoid receptor inhibitors decreased by 8.6% in Group I and increased by 1.8% in Group II. Eighty-three patients of Group I, who had been previously treated with ACE inhibitors or angiotensin receptor antagonists, received sacubitril/valsartan that was titrated to the maximal tolerated dose. At the end of follow-up, 68 patients of Group I and 53 patients of Group II had a cardioverter defibrillator implanted, whereas 40 and 44, respectively, were submitted to cardiac resynchronization therapy.
The main finding of our study is that follow-up care directed by echo and BNP improved survival in ambulatory patients with HF and reduced or mildly reduced LVEF with respect to patients followed by conventional clinical parameters and those who received no dedicated follow-up. Tissue Doppler index E/e′ was the best predictor of survival in patients of the echo- and BNP-guided group. In addition, presence of pulmonary congestion as assessed by the increased number of B-lines at LUS was another clinically measurable predictor of outcome.
After hospital discharge, patients with HF remain at high risk of mortality and rehospitalization, particularly during the first few weeks [17, 18]. In most countries, only a minority of patients gain access to a dedicated outpatient clinic, which can provide specific follow-up visits for cardiovascular care .
Care management programs for HF have traditionally focused on patients with chronic HF at high risk of decompensation detected during outpatient follow-up. The growing pressure from hospital readmissions in HF patients is shifting the focus of interest from traditionally symptom-guided care to a more specific patient-centered follow-up care based on clinical findings, NPs, and echo [20, 21].
As it is known, NP-guided therapy has not received an endorsement as the recommended approach for HF management by the American and European society guidelines [22, 23]. In the recent GUIDE-IT study, where HF patients with LVEF ≤ 40% were randomized to either an NT-proBNP-guided strategy or usual care, no significant differences have been reported between the NP-guided arm and the usual care arm in reducing time to first hospitalization or cardiovascular mortality. However, a major limitation of GUIDE-IT was that a single target value of NT-proBNP < 1,000 pg/mL was utilized .
Regardless of the etiology, increases in LVFP and pulmonary congestion are necessary prerequisites to decompensation. In addition to echo Doppler variables that allow estimation of LVFP, that is, E/e′ and EDT, LUS may be utilized for the prediction of decompensated HF . The ability to distinguish stable from unstable HF patients may be refined by the concomitant assessment of NP circulating levels and their variations over time .
In the last years, LUS has been proposed for the evaluation of pulmonary congestion, through the assessment of B-lines. Quantification of B-lines has been shown to be useful for the diagnosis, monitoring, and risk stratification of patients with known or suspected acute HF  and may add to the assessment of hemodynamic congestion by echo Doppler parameters and NPs also in an outpatient setting [12, 28]. The echo Doppler estimation of LVFP by E/e′ and NPs is somewhat correlated with pulmonary tissue water in large populations, but may provide different information in the single patient .
Beyond the prognostic value of reducing NPs to less than a specific numeric value, changes in NP concentrations over time may help to better stratify the risk . This is the reason why, rather than simply rely on fixed BNP values, we have used a combination of follow-up BNP <125 pg/ml and decrease >30% as targets of therapy .
Our results support the use of Doppler echocardiographic signs of raised LVFP and LUS with BNP in the follow-up of HF outpatients with reduced or mildly reduced EF. The improvement in clinical outcome of ambulatory patients with systolic HF who underwent follow-up evaluations that included echocardiography, LUS, and the assessment NPs can be attributed to prevention of clinically overt pulmonary congestion, refractoriness to loop diuretics, and a better titration of cardiovascular drugs. Moreover, repeated echocardiograms during follow-up may be valuable for the earlier identification of candidates to surgical and percutaneous valve interventions, cardiac resynchronization therapy, and cardioverter defibrillator implantation. Finally, drug treatments with newer pharmacological entities, such as sacubitril/valsartan, that have been recently introduced in the clinical scenario, may importantly contribute to improve patients’ prognosis and decrease the occurrence of worsening HF .
Our study has several limitations. Data were collected retrospectively, and follow-up visits were planned and made according to different protocols. Despite the recent development of more sophisticated echocardiographic techniques, for example, speckle tracking spectral Doppler , echo Doppler markers of raised LVFP are well validated and universally used.
Due to its simple application, repeatability, and open access in daily HF management, assessment of markers of raised LVFP and LUS in association with repeated determination of NP circulating levels appears valuable to guide therapy of ambulatory HF patients. Nevertheless, further work is necessary to validate our findings and this investigation must be considered only a hypothesis-generating study whose results need to be confirmed by a prospective randomized trial. The E/e′, which is one of the parameters used to determine diastolic dysfunction as per the most recent guidelines, should be followed over time in future studies.
The datasets generated during and/or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.
L. W. Stevenson, “Are hemodynamic goals viable in tailoring heart failure therapy? Hemodynamic goals are relevant,” Circulation, vol. 113, no. 7, pp. 1020–1027, 2006.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
R. Troughton, G. Michael Felker, and J. L. Januzzi Jr., “Natriuretic peptide-guided heart failure management,” European Heart Journal, vol. 35, no. 1, pp. 16–24, 2014.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
A. S. Desai, A. Bhimaraj, R. Bharmi et al., “Ambulatory hemodynamic monitoring reduces heart failure hospitalizations in “real-world” clinical practice,” Journal of the American College of Cardiology, vol. 69, no. 19, pp. 2357–2365, 2017.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
M. M. Givertz, L. W. Stevenson, M. R. Costanzo et al., “Pulmonary artery pressure-guided management of patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction,” Journal of the American College of Cardiology, vol. 70, no. 15, pp. 1875–1886, 2017.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
S. J. Lester, A. J. Tajik, R. A. Nishimura, J. K. Oh, B. K. Khandheria, and J. B. Seward, “Unlocking the mysteries of diastolic function: deciphering the Rosetta Stone 10 years later,” Journal of the American College of Cardiology, vol. 51, no. 7, pp. 679–689, 2008.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
F. L. Dini, P. Ballo, L. Badano et al., “Validation of an echo-Doppler decision model to predict left ventricular filling pressure in patients with heart failure independently of ejection fraction,” European Journal of Echocardiography, vol. 11, no. 8, pp. 703–10, 2010.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
O. S. Andersen, O. A. Smiseth, H. Dokainish et al., “Estimating left ventricular filling pressure by echocardiography,” Journal of the American College of Cardiology, vol. 69, no. 15, pp. 1937–1948, 2017.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
P. L. Temporelli, U. Corrà, A. Imparato, E. Bosimini, F. Scapellato, and P. Giannuzzi, “Reversible restrictive left ventricular diastolic filling with optimized oral therapy predicts more favorable prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure,” Journal of the American College of Cardiology, vol. 31, no. 7, pp. 1591–1597, 1998.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
G. A. Whalley, R. N. Doughty, G. D. Gamble et al., “Pseudonormal mitral filling pattern predicts hospital re-admission in patients with congestive heart failure,” Journal of the American College of Cardiology, vol. 39, no. 11, pp. 1787–1795, 2002.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
E. Platz, A. Lattanzi, C. Agbo et al., “Utility of lung ultrasound in predicting pulmonary and cardiac pressures,” European Journal of Heart Failure, vol. 14, no. 11, pp. 1276–1284, 2012.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
M. C. Scali, A. Simioniuc, F. L. Dini, and M. Marzilli, “The potential value of integrated natriuretic peptide and echo-guided heart failure management,” Cardiovascular Ultrasound, vol. 12, no. 1, p. 27, 2014.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
F. L. Dini, E. Carluccio, F. Monteccucco, G. M. Rosa, and P. Fontanive, “Combining echo and natriuretic peptides to guide heart failure care in the outpatient setting: a position paper,” European Journal of Clinical Investigation, vol. 47, no. 12, Article ID e12846, 2017.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
R. M. Lang, L. P. Badano, V. Mor-Avi et al., “Recommendations for cardiac chamber quantification by echocardiography in adults: an update from the American Society of Echocardiography and the European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging,” Journal of the American Society of Echocardiography, vol. 28, no. 1, pp. 1–39, 2015.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
A. Mosterd, J. W. Deckers, A. W. Hoes et al., “Classification of heart failure in population based research: an assessment of six heart failure scores,” European Journal of Epidemiology, vol. 13, no. 5, pp. 491–502, 1997.View at: Google Scholar
R. Latini, S. Masson, I. S. Anand et al., “Prognostic value of very low plasma concentrations of troponin T in patients with stable chronic heart failure,” Circulation, vol. 116, no. 11, pp. 1242–1249, 2007.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
E. Platz, A. A. Merz, P. S. Jhund, A. Vazir, R. Campbell, and J. J. McMurray, “Dynamic changes and prognostic value of pulmonary congestion by lung ultrasound in acute and chronic heart failure,” European Journal of Heart Failure, vol. 19, no. 9, pp. 1154–1163, 2017.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
A. S. Desai and L. W. Stevenson, “Rehospitalization for heart failure: predict or prevent?” Circulation, vol. 126, no. 4, pp. 501–506, 2012.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
M. Gheorghiade, M. Vaduganathan, G. C. Fonarow, and R. O. Bonow, “Rehospitalization for heart failure: problems and perspectives,” Journal of the American College of Cardiology, vol. 61, no. 4, pp. 391–403, 2013.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
M. G. Crespo-Leiro, S. D. Anker, A. P. Maggioni et al., “European Society of Cardiology Heart Failure Long-Term Registry (ESC-HF-LT): 1-year follow-up outcomes and differences across regions,” European Journal of Heart Failure, vol. 18, no. 6, pp. 613–625, 2016.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
J. C. Kelder, M. J. Cramer, J. van Wijngaarden et al., “The diagnostic value of physical examination and additional testing in primary care patients with suspected heart failure,” Circulation, vol. 124, no. 25, pp. 2865–2873, 2011.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
M. Gheorghiade, F. Follath, P. Ponikowski et al., “Assessing and grading congestion in acute heart failure: a scientific statement from the acute heart failure committee of the heart failure association of the European Society of Cardiology and endorsed by the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine,” European Journal of Heart Failure, vol. 12, no. 5, pp. 423–433, 2010.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
P. Ponikowski, A. A. Voors, S. D. Anker et al., “2016 ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure: the Task Force for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) Developed with the special contribution of the Heart Failure Association (HFA) of the ESC,” European Heart Journal, vol. 37, no. 27, pp. 2129–2200, 2016.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
C. W. Yancy, M. Jessup, B. Bozkurt et al., “2013 ACCF/AHA guideline for the management of heart failure: a report of the American College of Cardiology Foundation/American Heart Association task force on practice guidelines,” Journal of the American College of Cardiology, vol. 62, no. 16, pp. e147–e239, 2013.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
G. M. Felker, K. J. Anstrom, K. F. Adams et al., “Effect of natriuretic peptide-guided therapy on hospitalization or cardiovascular mortality in high-risk patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction: a randomized clinical trial,” JAMA, vol. 318, no. 8, pp. 713–720, 2017.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
E. Platz, E. F. Lewis, H. Uno et al., “Detection and prognostic value of pulmonary congestion by lung ultrasound in ambulatory heart failure patients,” European Heart Journal, vol. 37, no. 15, pp. 1244–1251, 2016.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
A. Simioniuc, E. Carluccio, S. Ghio et al., “Investigators of the network labs ultrasound (NEBULA) in heart failure study group. Echo and natriuretic peptide guided therapy improves outcome and reduces worsening renal function in systolic heart failure: an observational study of 1137 outpatients,” International Journal of Cardiology, vol. 224, pp. 416–423, 2016.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
S. Price, E. Platz, L. Cullen et al., “Expert consensus document: Echocardiography and lung ultrasonography for the assessment and management of acute heart failure,” Nature Reviews Cardiology, vol. 14, no. 7, pp. 427–440, 2017.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
K. H. Dwyer, A. A. Merz, E. F. Lewis et al., “Pulmonary congestion by lung ultrasound in ambulatory patients with heart failure with reduced or preserved ejection fraction and hypertension,” Journal of Cardiac Failure, vol. 24, no. 4, pp. 219–226, 2018.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
L. Gargani, P. S. Pang, F. Frassi et al., “Persistent pulmonary congestion before discharge predicts rehospitalization in heart failure: a lung ultrasound study,” Cardiovascular Ultrasound, vol. 13, no. 1, p. 40, 2015.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
A. Maisel, C. Mueller, K. Adams Jr. et al., “State of the art: using natriuretic peptide levels in clinical practice,” European Journal of Heart Failure, vol. 10, no. 9, pp. 824–839, 2008.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
M. R. Zile, B. L. Claggett, M. F. Prescott et al., “Prognostic implications of changes in N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide in patients with heart failure,” Journal of the American College of Cardiology, vol. 68, no. 22, pp. 2425–2436, 2016.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
J. J. McMurray, M. Packer, A. S. Desai et al., “Angiotensin-neprilysin inhibition versus enalapril in heart failure,” New England Journal of Medicine, vol. 371, no. 11, pp. 993–1004, 2014.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar
M. Cameli, M. Lisi, S. Mondillo et al., “Left atrial longitudinal strain by speckle tracking echocardiography correlates well with left ventricular filling pressures in patients with heart failure,” Cardiovascular Ultrasound, vol. 21, no. 1, p. 14, 2010.View at: Publisher Site | Google Scholar