Research Article
Forecasting Air Passenger Traffic by Support Vector Machines with Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Slope-Based Method
Table 1
Forecasting performances of all models across all the data series.
| | | EEMD-Slope-SVMs | EEMD-SVMs | SVMs | Holt-Winters | ARIMA |
| | MAPE | 1.501 | 1.8332 | 2.096 | 5.7316 | 3.1582 | American | RMSE | 127192 | 141840 | 161874 | 449709 | 251254 | | GMRAE | 0.2165 | 0.2973 | 0.3351 | 0.8012 | 0.5268 | | DS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.6087 | 0.739 | | MAPE | 3.815 | 4.552 | 5.4158 | 7.4413 | 6.9646 | Delta | RMSE | 276491 | 308793 | 331704 | 403902 | 408285 | | GMRAE | 0.5018 | 0.5216 | 0.7141 | 0.8618 | 1.1068 | | DS | 0.8261 | 0.7391 | 0.7261 | 0.6957 | 0.6522 | | MAPE | 1.1369 | 1.2937 | 1.2956 | 5.8553 | 6.0091 | Southwest | RMSE | 150190 | 150777 | 151706 | 696873 | 632114 | | GMRAE | 0.208 | 0.251 | 0.2643 | 0.8126 | 1.1055 | | DS | 0.936 | 0.927 | 0.913 | 0.695 | 0.522 | | MAPE | 1.3901 | 1.9475 | 2.1505 | 6.5151 | 4.0872 | United | RMSE | 96132 | 106727 | 120961 | 393550 | 251327 | | GMRAE | 0.2091 | 0.2963 | 0.3811 | 1.1877 | 0.801 | | DS | 0.9774 | 0.9565 | 0.913 | 0.608 | 0.913 | | MAPE | 2.017 | 2.9321 | 3.8019 | 5.5213 | 5.6763 | easyJet | RMSE | 74361 | 81931 | 102859 | 175269 | 175404 | | GMRAE | 0.4401 | 0.5183 | 0.6872 | 0.526 | 0.525 | | DS | 0.9107 | 0.8696 | 0.78261 | 0.6087 | 0.6075 | | MAPE | 1.4078 | 1.8766 | 2.7149 | 4.1953 | 3.659 | Virgin | RMSE | 10191 | 11150 | 14150 | 22395 | 18455 | | GMRAE | 0.4109 | 0.4655 | 0.5412 | 0.6303 | 0.6515 | | DS | 0.8991 | 0.8696 | 0.7826 | 0.6522 | 0.7391 |
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