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Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Volume 2015, Article ID 237809, 17 pages
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/237809
Research Article

Agent Based Modeling on Organizational Dynamics of Terrorist Network

College of Information System and Management, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410072, China

Received 30 April 2015; Revised 31 August 2015; Accepted 11 October 2015

Academic Editor: Aura Reggiani

Copyright © 2015 Bo Li et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Abstract

Modeling organizational dynamics of terrorist network is a critical issue in computational analysis of terrorism research. The first step for effective counterterrorism and strategic intervention is to investigate how the terrorists operate with the relational network and what affects the performance. In this paper, we investigate the organizational dynamics by employing a computational experimentation methodology. The hierarchical cellular network model and the organizational dynamics model are developed for modeling the hybrid relational structure and complex operational processes, respectively. To intuitively elucidate this method, the agent based modeling is used to simulate the terrorist network and test the performance in diverse scenarios. Based on the experimental results, we show how the changes of operational environments affect the development of terrorist organization in terms of its recovery and capacity to perform future tasks. The potential strategies are also discussed, which can be used to restrain the activities of terrorists.