Global Dynamics and Applications of an Epidemiological Model for Hepatitis C Virus Transmission in China

Figure 2

(a) Annual newly reported HCV cases for mainland China; (b) goodness of fit and prediction of HCV trends until 2021. Stars represent the reported number of people with HCV by year. The solid line shows the fit based on the current circumstances (). The dashed and dash dot lines show the prediction at higher treatment rates and for patients at the chronic stage from 2015, respectively. All the other parameters are as shown in Table 1.

(a)

(b)