Mathematical Modelling, Simulation, and Optimal Control of the 2014 Ebola Outbreak in West Africa

<div>A solution to the SIR model (<a href="https://static.hindawi.com/articles/ddns/volume-2015/842792/figures/#EEq6">6</a>) with <svg height="13.2498pt" id="M87" style="vertical-align:-3.571899pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.6779 39.7088 13.2498" width="39.7088pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,0,0)"><path d="M558 587C558 666 497 712 432 712C379 712 330 691 284 650C212 586 178 508 148 348L71 -65C49 -185 35 -229 23 -235L27 -261C49 -259 101 -251 124 -224C131 -216 138 -178 159 -24C171 66 197 200 227 356C264 550 295 668 393 668C443 668 479 632 479 575C479 516 446 458 383 418C361 404 344 398 318 397L296 350C395 338 460 281 460 192C460 110 411 40 300 40C258 40 215 55 192 69L181 51C191 18 222 -16 266 -16C308 -16 351 1 397 26C471 67 545 142 545 221C545 315 486 365 401 395C469 437 558 498 558 587Z" id="g113-224"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="581" 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transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,8.495,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z" id="g113-41"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,13.183,0)"><path d="M241 635C89 635 35 457 35 312C35 153 89 -12 240 -12C390 -12 443 166 443 312C443 466 390 635 241 635ZM238 602C329 602 354 454 354 312C354 172 330 22 240 22C152 22 124 173 124 313S148 602 238 602Z" id="g113-49"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="480" vert-adv-y="480"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,19.686,0)"><path d="M275 270C275 450 212 609 64 710L45 686C145 604 203 442 203 270S147 -63 45 -147L64 -170C213 -68 275 89 275 270Z" id="g113-42"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,28.158,0)"><path d="M535 323V373H52V323H535ZM535 138V188H52V138H535Z" id="g117-34"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="587" vert-adv-y="587"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,39.896,0)"><path d="M241 635C89 635 35 457 35 312C35 153 89 -12 240 -12C390 -12 443 166 443 312C443 466 390 635 241 635ZM238 602C329 602 354 454 354 312C354 172 330 22 240 22C152 22 124 173 124 313S148 602 238 602Z" id="g113-49"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="480" vert-adv-y="480"></glyph.data></g></svg>, and different rates of vaccination: <svg height="8.91176pt" id="M92" style="vertical-align:-0.2130003pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.69876 28.7073 8.91176" width="28.7073pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,0,0)"><path d="M457 332C457 400 429 448 397 448C384 448 371 441 365 435L366 428C376 413 388 372 388 315C388 152 306 45 220 45C166 45 134 85 158 180L197 332C204 361 207 385 207 402C207 434 196 448 174 448C125 448 66 406 23 342L43 319C84 368 110 383 121 383C130 383 129 374 122 343L76 156C71 137 69 120 69 105C69 25 125 -12 181 -12C314 -12 457 166 457 332Z" id="g113-242"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="480" vert-adv-y="480"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,10.289,0)"><path d="M535 323V373H52V323H535ZM535 138V188H52V138H535Z" id="g117-34"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="587" vert-adv-y="587"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,22.027,0)"><path d="M241 635C89 635 35 457 35 312C35 153 89 -12 240 -12C390 -12 443 166 443 312C443 466 390 635 241 635ZM238 602C329 602 354 454 354 312C354 172 330 22 240 22C152 22 124 173 124 313S148 602 238 602Z" id="g113-49"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="480" vert-adv-y="480"></glyph.data></g></svg> (a),   <svg height="8.91176pt" id="M93" style="vertical-align:-0.2130003pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.69876 51.3904 8.91176" width="51.3904pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,0,0)"><path d="M457 332C457 400 429 448 397 448C384 448 371 441 365 435L366 428C376 413 388 372 388 315C388 152 306 45 220 45C166 45 134 85 158 180L197 332C204 361 207 385 207 402C207 434 196 448 174 448C125 448 66 406 23 342L43 319C84 368 110 383 121 383C130 383 129 374 122 343L76 156C71 137 69 120 69 105C69 25 125 -12 181 -12C314 -12 457 166 457 332Z" id="g113-242"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="480" vert-adv-y="480"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,10.289,0)"><path d="M535 323V373H52V323H535ZM535 138V188H52V138H535Z" id="g117-34"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="587" vert-adv-y="587"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,22.027,0)"><path d="M241 635C89 635 35 457 35 312C35 153 89 -12 240 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horiz-adv-x="480" vert-adv-y="480"></glyph.data></g></svg> (c).</div>

Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society

fig6

Figure 6

Figure 6: Mathematical Modelling, Simulation, and Optimal Control of the 2014 Ebola Outbreak in West Africa 