Research Article

Estimation of Container Traffic at Seaports by Using Several Soft Computing Methods: A Case of Turkish Seaports

Table 1

Summary of previous studies on seaports’ freight demand estimation.

StudyTypePredicted variablesPredictor variables

Forecasting cargo growth and regional role of the port of Hong Kong [44] Multivariate regressionTotal inward freight movements (million tons)Electricity demand
Population
Domestic exports at 1990
Prices

Forecasting container cargo throughput in ports [45]Multilinear regressionContainer throughput/traffic (TEU)Industrial production index, GNP
Elasticity modelGDP per capita for country
Port competition model

Estimation of freight demand at Mumbai port using regression and time series models [46]Univariate and multivariate regressionFreight demandGDP and crude oil production
World income

Forecasting cargo throughput for the port of Hong Kong: error correction model approach [47] Univariate and multivariate regressionTotal freight throughputChina’s total trade value
USA total trade value
Number of berths in container terminal
Cargo throughput at other ports

Empirical analysis of influence factors to container throughput in Korea and China ports [48]Univariate and multivariate regressionContainer volumePort tariff
Hinterland GDP
Hinterland export and import