Research Article
Learning Evolutionary Stages with Hidden Semi-Markov Model for Predicting Social Unrest Events
Table 3
The BACC value of each method.
| | BoEAG pattern | Temporal burst pattern | | HSMM | HMM | Logistic | Baseline | HSMM (%) | HMM (%) | Logistic (%) | Baseline (%) |
| | Thailand | 95.9 | 85.1 | 69.8 | 52.8 | 87.1 | 86.1 | 67.8 | 53.1 | | Indonesia | 75.5 | 72.5 | 59.5 | 50.5 | 71.0 | 70.5 | 60.0 | 50.8 | | Philippines | 72.6 | 71.4 | 68.3 | 49.5 | 70.1 | 69.7 | 65.3 | 48.1 | | Malaysia | 78.9 | 72.3 | 63.2 | 50.6 | 72.3 | 68.3 | 59.1 | 47.6 | | Cambodia | 73.1 | 75.5 | 67.5 | 50.6 | 71.8 | 69.4 | 64.9 | 51.6 |
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