Research Article

Forecasting the Number of the Wounded after an Earthquake Disaster Based on the Continuous Interval Grey Discrete Verhulst Model

Table 4

Simulation results.

Time from earthquake occurrence (days)Original valuePrediction value

0.5–1[2168, 6700][2168, 6700]
1–1.5[6700, 11393][6699.83, 11393.15]
1.5–2[11393, 11460][11392.625, 11459.295]
2–2.5[11460, 11470][11460.525, 11469.995]
2.5–3[11470, 11470][11465.100, 11466.440]
3–3.5[11470, 11470][11465.685, 11465.875]
3.5–4[11470, 11470][11465.765, 11465.795]
4–4.5[11470, 11470][11465.780, 11465.780]
4.5–5[11470, 11470][11465.780, 11465.780]