Chinese Herbal Medicines Might Improve the Long-Term Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome after Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: Results of a Decision-Analytic Markov Model

Table 2

Transition probabilities among health states in the long-term Markov model.

Variables	Baseline probability	Range	Source
Event-free followed by
Nonfatal AMI	0.018	0.010–0.020	[26–35]
Nonfatal stroke	0.007	0.001–0.009	[36–38]
Nonfatal UA	0.03	0.02–0.05	[39–41]
Death	0.027	0.014–0.033	[26–35]
Post-MI followed by
Death, 1st year	0.039	0.008–0.076	[33, 42–56]
Death, after 1st year	0.021	0.003–0.027	[33, 42, 45–53, 56]
Nonfatal AMI, 1st year	0.024	0.002–0.060	[33, 42–56]
Nonfatal AMI, after 1st year	0.018	0.001–0.008	[33, 42, 44–53, 56]
Nonfatal stroke, 1st year	0.010	0.0024–0.024	[33, 43, 44, 57–61]
Nonfatal stroke, after 1st year	0.007	0.0008–0.022	[58, 59]
Post-UA followed by
Death, 1st year	0.034	0.012–0.050	[30, 32, 33]
Death, after 1st year	0.020	0.016–0.028	[30, 32, 33]
Nonfatal AMI, 1st year	0.036	0.01–0.05	[30, 33, 59, 62]
Nonfatal AMI, after 1st year	0.011	0.010–0.063	[30, 33, 59, 62]
Nonfatal stroke, 1st year	0.018	0.014–0.023	[33, 62]
Nonfatal stroke, after 1st year	0.008	0.006–0.01	[33, 62]
Post stroke followed by
Death, 1st year	0.115	0.066–0.189	[58, 62–69]
Death, after 1st year	0.035	0.016–0.061	[58, 62, 64–67, 69]
Nonfatal AMI, 1st year	0.003	0.002–0.006	[58, 59]
Nonfatal AMI, after 1st year	0.004	0.002–0.006	[58, 59]
Nonfatal stroke, 1st year	0.128	0.064–0.189	[68, 70, 71]
Nonfatal stroke, after 1st year	0.040	0.030–0.080	[71, 72]
Rate of age-related MACE; (OR/10 years)	0.5	0.33–0.87	[28, 30, 31, 39, 69]

AMI: acute myocardial infarction; UA: unstable angina; MACE: major adverse cardiovascular events.