Preliminary Study to Evaluate Three Different Treatments on Stable Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Patients Based on Markov Model

Table 7

Annual Probabilities of AE and Transitions between States for COPD patients.

Parameters	Probability
probability of mild AE with GOLD 1-2 in Western medicine group	0.67
probability of severe AE with GOLD 1-2 in Western medicine group	0.33
probability of mild AE with GOLD 3-4 in Western medicine group	0.5
probability of severe AE with GOLD 3-4 in Western medicine group	0.5
probability of mild AE with GOLD 1-2 in TCM group	0.82
probability of severe AE with GOLD 1-2 in TCM group	0.18
probability of mild AE with GOLD 3-4 in TCM group	0.53
probability of severe AE with GOLD 3-4 in TCM group	0.47
probability of mild AE with GOLD 1-2 in combined group	0.67
probability of severe AE with GOLD 1-2 in combined group	0.33
probability of mild AE with GOLD 3-4 in combined group	0.53
probability of severe AE with GOLD 3-4 in combined group	0.47
fatality rate of patients with GOLD 3-4	0.032 [19]
mortality rates of patients with GOLD 1-2	0.0286^&
mortality rates of patients with GOLD 3-4	0.126 [6]
Probability of transforming GOLD 1-2 into GOLD 3-4 in Western medicine group	0.215
Probability of transforming GOLD 1-2 into GOLD 3-4 in TCM group	0.170
Probability of transforming GOLD 1-2 into GOLD 3-4 in combined group	0.124

^&Data are derived from assumption.