US Agriculture under Climate Change: An Examination of Climate Change Effects on Ease of Achieving RFS2

Table 13

Feedstock-specific ethanol production under alternative RFS2 sensitivity scenarios, 2030.

	RFS2 energy sorghum
	None	Change from RFS2	Hadley	Change from RFS2HC	Canadian	Change from RFS2CC
Cellulosic ethanol
Dedicated energy crops
Switchgrass	—	−12,744	—	−12,804	—	−9,011
Hybrid poplar	—	0	—	−58	—	−218
Willow	—	−61	—	−55	—	−57
Energy sorghum	13,023	13,023	13,103	13,103	13,116	13,116
Crop residues
Corn residue	—	−20	—	−6	—	−3,648
Wheat residue	—	−15	—	−91	—	−31
Sorghum residue	—	0	—	−7	—	−18
Rice residue	—	−6	—	−1	—	0
Processing residues
Bagasse	663	−72	583	26	570	−28
Sweet sorghum pulp	—	−106	—	−106	—	−106
Grain ethanol
Corn	14,985	0	14,985	0	14,985	0
Barley	30	30	—	0	28	28
Oats	—	0	30	30	2	2
Sweet sorghum	—	−30	—	−30	—	−30
Total	28,701	0	28,701	0	28,701	0