US Agriculture under Climate Change: An Examination of Climate Change Effects on Ease of Achieving RFS2

Table 3

Ethanol production assumptions for no RFS2 and RFS2.

		2000	2010	2020	2030
No RFS2	Grain-	2.13*	10.81**	12.29**	13.56***
	Cellulosic-	0	0.25**	0.25**	0.25**
RFS2	Grain-	2.13*	12.83^#	15.00^#	15.00^#
	Cellulosic-	0	0.43^#,##	13.7^#,##	13.7^#,##

*Table 11 U.S. motor fuels consumption, 2000–2005 (million gallons per year), AEO 2007 [21].
**Table 1.2-1. AEO 2007 Reference case renewable fuel volumes (billion gallons), RIA of RFS2 [22].
***Table A17. Renewable energy consumption by sector and source, AEO 2007 [21].
^# Table 1.2-3. Primary control case projected renewable fuel volumes (billion gallons). RIA of RFS2 [22].
^##The volume is derived using the formula (cellulosic ethanol + 1.7 * cellulosic diesel) * (13.7/16). Consult RIA of RFS2 [22] for more details.