Research Article

The Role of IL-6, 8, and 10, sTNFr, CRP, and Pancreatic Elastase in the Prediction of Systemic Complications in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis

Table 4

ROC analysis for biochemical parameters of patients with acute pancreatitis. The criterion of classifying patients is the occurrence or absence of systemic complications of the disease. Bold printed are the indicators with statistically significant difference.

ParametersAUC (95% CI) valueCut-offSensitivity (%)Specificit  (%)PPV (%)NPV (%)

IL-6 (1st day) [pg/mL]0.71 (0.63–0.78)<0.00137.982653594
IL-8 (1st day) [pg/mL]0.66 (0.58–0.74)0.00842.568673290
IL-10 (1st day) [pg/mL]0.65 (0.57–0.73)0.0137.275562891
sTNFr (1st day) [pg/mL]0.69 (0.60–0.76)0.002155282532993
CRP (1st day) 0.51 (0.43–0.60)0.8428532863585
CRP (3rd day) (mg/L)0.69 (0.61–0.77)0.00121454844489
Elastase (1st day) (ng/mL)0.56 (0.48–0.64)0.3112.092222293
Elastase (3rd day) (ng/mL)0.70 (0.62–0.77)<0.0011.593432796