Comparison of BISAP, Ranson, MCTSI, and APACHE II in Predicting Severity and Prognoses of Hyperlipidemic Acute Pancreatitis in Chinese Patients

Table 4

Comparison of 4 scoring systems in predicting severity, local complications, and mortality of HLAP.

Scoring system	Sensitivity	Specificity	PPV (%)	PLR	Youden index	AUC	95% CI
MSAP and SAP
BISAP	54	86	68	3.9	0.4	0.795	0.660–0.929
Ranson	46	84	54	2.9	0.3	0.766	0.616–0.916
APACHE II	57	89	67	5.2	0.46	0.814	0.686–0.942
MCTSI	36	94	66	6	0.3	0.654	0.492–0.815
Location complications
BISAP	54	81	21	2.8	0.35	0.731	0.581–0.881
Ranson	57	79	20	2.7	0.36	0.698	0.532–0.865
APACHE II	43	78	15	2.0	0.21	0.580	0.407–0.753
MCTSI	68	90	38	6.8	0.58	0.791	0.656–0.925
Mortality
BISAP	89	80	15	4. 5	0.69	0.867	0.758–0.976
Ranson	78	77	9	3.4	0.55	0.842	0.722–0.962
APACHE II	89	78	10	4.0	0.67	0.854	0.724–0.984
MCTSI	78	86	14	5.6	0.64	0.839	0.721–0.957