Clinical Study

Prediction of Sustained Virological Response to Telaprevir-Based Triple Therapy Using Viral Response within 2 Weeks

Table 5

Predictive values according to significant factors related to sustained virological response.

Significant predictive factorsSensitivitySpecificityPPVNPVAccuracy

Non-NR to prior PEG-IFN and ribavirin96% (25/26)43% (3/7)86% (25/29)75% (3/4)85% (28/33)
IL28B major 77% (20/26)86% (6/7)95% (20/21)50% (6/12)79% (26/33)
Core 70 wild 60% (15/25)86% (6/7)94% (15/16)38% (6/16)66% (21/32)
No cirrhosis65% (17/26)86% (6/7)94% (17/18)40% (6/15)70% (23/33)
Hyaluronic acid level
(<346 ng/mL)
92% (24/26)57% (4/7)89% (24/27)67% (4/6)85% (28/33)
Reduction of HCV-RNA at week 1
(>4.36 logIU/mL)
73% (19/26)86% (6/7)95% (19/20)46% (6/13)76% (25/33)
Reduction of HCV-RNA at week 2
(>4.56 logIU/mL)
77% (20/26)86% (6/7)95% (20/21)50% (6/12)79% (26/33)
Reduction of HCV-RNA at week 4
(>6.40 logIU/mL)
65% (17/26)100% (7/7)100% (17/17)44% (7/16)73% (24/33)
RVR77% (20/26)71% (5/7)91% (20/22)45% (5/11)76% (25/33)
Neither the IL28B minor nor core 70 mutant80% (20/25)71% (5/7)91% (20/22)50% (5/10)78% (25/32)

PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; NR, no response; PEG-IFN, pegylated interferon; IL, interleukin; HCV, hepatitis C virus; RVR, rapid virological response.