Abstract

Introduction. Hypertension is a leading risk factor for cardiovascular mortality and an emerging public health concern in sub-Saharan Africa. Few studies have examined performance on the management of hypertension in this region, where the context may be distinct from other developing regions. Objectives. We aimed to determine the prevalence and correlates of hypertension, awareness, treatment, and control among adults in Botswana, a middle-income African country undergoing rapid demographic transition and with high HIV burden. Methods. In this 2014 cross-sectional survey of adults aged 15–69 years, information on sociodemographic characteristics, lifestyle behavior, and medical history was collected through in-person interviews and physical measurements (body mass index and triplicate blood pressure (BP)). Hypertension was defined as self-report of use of antihypertensives in the previous two weeks and/or having elevated BP (≥140/90 mmHg). Multivariable logistic regression was employed to explore factors associated with hypertension, awareness (report of previous diagnosis), treatment (antihypertensives), and control (BP < 140/90). Results. Our analysis (N = 4,007) yielded an age-standardized hypertension prevalence of 30% (95% CI: 28%–32%, N = 1,393). Among hypertensives, 54% (50–58%) were unaware of their condition, 45% (40–50%) of those aware were untreated, and 63% (55–70%) of those on medications were suboptimally treated (BP ≥ 140/90 mmHg). A fifth of hypertensives who were diagnosed but not on medications had BP ≥ 180/110 mmHg. Diabetes was the strongest correlate of hypertension and awareness (aOR 4.00, 1.86–8.59; aOR 3.30, 1.44–7.55, respectively). Males were less likely to be aware (aOR 0.62, 0.41–0.94) or controlled (aOR 0.36, 0.16–0.83). Obese individuals were more likely to be treated (aOR 2.17, 1.12–4.22), yet less likely to be controlled (aOR 0.32, 0.15–0.66). Conclusions. We report the first nationally representative estimates of the hypertension care cascade performance in Botswana, which will support planning and future policy evaluations. Findings contribute to the relatively sparse evidence on this subject and may inform development of innovations that improve quality of hypertension management and adherence support in similar settings.

1. Background

Cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are the leading cause of mortality worldwide, with 80% of associated deaths occurring in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) [1]. Hypertension is the leading risk factor for CVD-related mortality globally contributing to over 7 million premature deaths per year [2]. Addressing hypertension will be instrumental to stemming the burden of CVDs and achieving Sustainable Development Goal target 3.4: to reduce premature mortality due to noncommunicable diseases (NCD) by a third by 2030 [3, 4].

Despite this, and the availability of low-cost treatments for hypertension [5], many individuals with the condition living in LMICs are undiagnosed or suboptimally treated (uncontrolled) [57]. Studies have previously described high levels of hypertension control in high income countries (HICs), exceeding 80% among hypertensives on treatment in Canada and the UK [8, 9]. In contrast, these figures are much lower in LMICs [10, 11]. While many studies have described determinants of hypertension [10, 1214], fewer have explored determinants of hypertension awareness, treatment, and control. This is particularly the case for sub-Saharan Africa, where CVD is the second leading cause of premature mortality [15], prevalence of hypertension among adults ranges from 15% to 42% [10], and the context may be distinct from other LMIC settings [16]. Furthermore, many African studies have used data that were not population-based or not nationally representative [12, 13], and the factors examined have often been limited to sociodemographic and lifestyle behavior.

Given this backdrop, we aimed (a) to determine the prevalence of hypertension awareness, treatment, and control in Botswana, a middle-income African country with a population of 2 million undergoing rapid demographic transition and with high prevalence of HIV (19%), and (b) to identify correlates of these hypertension care cascade categories among adults, including lifestyle advice and comorbidity. Characterizing gaps in the hypertension care cascade and factors associated with uncontrolled hypertension may inform future research and policy approaches in Botswana and other resource-limited settings with emerging hypertension burden.

2. Methods

2.1. Design and Study Population

We conducted secondary analysis of data from a population-based cross-sectional NCD risk factors survey conducted in Botswana between July and December 2014. The survey followed established World Health Organization (WHO) STEPwise NCD risk factor surveillance (STEPS) methodology [17] and employed multistage cluster sampling design to enroll a nationally representative sample of 15–69-year-old citizens residing in the country. The 2011 Population and Housing Census served as the sampling frame, with a population of 2,024,904, residing in 4,845 enumeration areas. Enumeration areas, which correspond to villages in rural areas and neighborhoods in urban areas, were primary sampling units of which a random sample was selected across the 27 health districts, based on probability proportional to size sampling. We note that the selection is not stratified by district. From these, a simple random sample of households (secondary sampling units) was selected, and subsequently a single age-eligible occupant was randomly selected per household using the Kirsch algorithm contained in a hand-held Android device. A complete analysis weight was computed to account for probability of selection at each sampling stage and nonresponse and the differences in age and sex distributions between the sample and Botswana reference 2011 population.

2.2. Data Collection

The survey was implemented by a trained team of 144 Ministry of Health and Wellness (MOH) health providers, supported by the MOH National Program team and WHO officers. Data were entered directly on to hand-held personal digital assistants, and collection involved three steps: (1) in-person interview, (2) anthropometric (height, weight, and waist circumference) and blood pressure (BP) measurements, and (3) collection of a fasting blood specimen for glucose and lipid profile testing. The interview employed a structured questionnaire, gathering information on participant sociodemographic characteristics, lifestyle behavior, hypertension and other medical history, and prior receipt of advice on lifestyle behavior modification. BP was measured using an automated validated [18] device (OmronM2, Omron Healthcare, Japan) and with three adult cuff sizes available. Following an initial rest of 15 minutes, three BP measurements were taken at least 5 minutes apart, with the participant in sitting position.

2.3. Definitions

Hypertension was defined as self-report of being on antihypertensive medications in the previous two weeks and/or having elevated BP (mean systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≥ 140 mmHg or mean diastolic blood pressure (DBP) ≥ 90 mmHg) during survey measurement. Three further binary hypertension status categories (care cascade phases) were of interest: awareness, treatment, and control. Awareness was defined as report of ever being previously informed of a hypertension diagnosis by a health professional. Treatment was report as being on antihypertensive medications in the previous two weeks. Control was having measured mean SBP < 140 and mean DBP < 90. These categories produce mutually exclusive groups of uncontrolled hypertensives previously described in other studies [10, 1921]: unaware, untreated, or suboptimally treated. Hypertension severity was categorized into three stages following thresholds from the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure [22]: stage I corresponds to SBP 140–159 mmHg or DBP 90–99 mmHg, stage II SBP 160–179 mmHg or DBP 100–110 mmHg, and stage III (also referred to as hypertensive crisis) SBP > 180 mmHg or DBP > 110 mmHg.

Variables available in the STEPS dataset that were included in the analysis were sociodemographic characteristics (age, gender, education, and rural residence), known correlates of raised blood pressure and/or risk factors of CVD (alcohol, smoking, added salt, diet, and obesity), and potential correlates of hypertension control that were less often reported (comorbidities, receipt of lifestyle advice). Known diabetes was defined as self-report of being informed by a health professional of having diabetes or of being on glycemic medications in the previous two weeks. Participants were considered having “other comorbidities” if they reported history of asthma, cancer, renal disease, “depression or other mental illnesses,” or HIV. Specific enquiry was made for the above listed chronic conditions with the exception of HIV, where self-report involved volunteered response to a general question: “do you have any other medical conditions?” (and data entered in free text such as “HIV,” “RVD” (retroviral disease), and “on ART” (antiretroviral therapy)).

BMI was computed using the formula of weight divided by height squared (kg/m2). BMI was classified as normal (≤25 kg/m2), overweight (25.1–30 kg/m2), and obese (>30 kg/m2). Current smoking was any use of smoked tobacco in the preceding 30 days. Binge use of alcohol was report of drinking six or more units of alcohol in one occasion during the preceding 30 days. Added salt at meals was a response other than “never” (i.e., selecting “rarely,” “sometimes,” “often,” or “always”) to the question, “how often do you add salt or salty sauce to your food just before or during eating?” Low fruit or vegetable intake was defined as consuming, on average, less than five servings of fruits or vegetables per day. Participants were considered to have received lifestyle advice if they responded yes to any of the options for the question, “during the past three years, has a doctor or any other health worker advised you to do any of the following: quit using tobacco, reduce salt, eat at least five servings of fruit and/or vegetables each day, start or do more physical activity?” Age groups were categorized to reflect varying CVD risk and conventional demographic groups: 15–29 years, 30–49 years, and 50–69 years. Allocation of rural/urban district status was based on Botswana’s 2011 National Population and Housing Census.

2.4. Statistical Analysis

Descriptive analyses were performed, producing proportions for categorical variables and medians/means for continuous variables. Age- and sex-standardized prevalence estimates for the care cascade phases of hypertension, awareness (among all hypertensives), treatment (among all hypertensives and among those aware), and control (among all hypertensives and among those treated) were computed for the overall population and for subgroups based on predictors of interest. Univariable logistic regression was performed to explore unadjusted relationships between explanatory variables and each hypertension care cascade phase. Multivariable logistic regression models were then fitted to compute fully adjusted odds ratios, with 95% confidence intervals. All analyses were performed using STATA v15 (Stata Corporation, College Station, Texas, USA) and factoring in study design and weights (svyset and svy commands).

2.5. Ethics

This study was approved by Botswana MOH’s Health Research Development Committee. Written informed consent was required for participation in this study. Participants with elevated BP were referred to their local clinic for further review (urgently for those with BP > 180/110).

3. Results

A total of 4,070 participants (64% of target sample size), spanning 227 (76% of target) enumeration areas, provided consent and were enrolled in the survey (Tables 1 and 2). Analysis was restricted to participants with nonmissing core variables of gender, age, education, rural residence, hypertension history (medication use, whether previously informed of diagnosis), and measured BP-yielding a final analytic dataset of 4,007 participants (Figures 1 and 2).

3.1. Participant Characteristics

Participant sociodemographic, behavioral and clinical characteristics are summarized in Tables 3 and 4. Participants were young (median age 34 (25–47) years, 79% aged < 50 years) and predominantly female (2,709, 68%). A third (1,319, 33%) had primary schooling or less, while 82% (3,297) resided in rural areas. With respect to cardiovascular risk factors, 38% (1,524) of participants were overweight or obese, 13% were current smokers, and 3% were known diabetics.

3.2. Prevalence of Hypertension, Awareness, Treatment, and Control

We found a high burden of hypertension, with an estimated prevalence of 30% (95% CI: 28%–32%, N = 1 393) in the general adult population, 58% (53–64%) among those aged 50–69 years, and 77% (66–86%) among known diabetics (Table 1). We also found large drop-offs in the hypertension care cascade (Figure 1). Over half (54%, 50–58%) of hypertensives were unaware of their condition, 45% (40–50%) of those who were aware were not on medications, and 63% (55–70%) of those treated had BP above target of 140/90 (suboptimally treated). Based on Botswana’s 2011 population structure, these figures translate to 218,430 prevalent hypertensives in the country, out of whom 117,724 were unaware, 45,733 were untreated, and 34,575 were suboptimally treated (Figure 1). All told, these results indicate that, out of all prevalent hypertensives, only 9% (7–12%) in Botswana are controlled while the remaining 91% (88–92%) are either undiagnosed, untreated, or suboptimally treated (Figure 3).

Table 5 summarizes severity of BP elevation among uncontrolled hypertensives. 8% (5–12%) of unaware hypertensives had hypertensive crisis (stage III, BP > 180/110) and a further 18% (14–23%) had moderately elevated BP (stage II, BP 160–179/100–109). Nearly a fifth of hypertensives who were diagnosed but untreated (19%, 12–28%) and a fifth of those suboptimally treated (19%, 13–28%) had hypertensive crisis.

3.3. Factors Associated with Hypertension, Awareness, Treatment and Control

Individuals who were older, less educated, current smokers, obese, or known diabetic were more likely to be hypertensive, based on univariable regression analysis (Table 1). Those who were older, female, or obese were more likely to be aware and to be treated. Having diabetes or other comorbidity was associated with higher likelihood of hypertension awareness. Binge use of alcohol was associated with lower likelihood of awareness and of treatment. Receipt of lifestyle risk factor advice was associated with higher likelihood of awareness and treatment and lower likelihood of hypertension control.

In fully adjusted multivariable logistic regression analysis (Table 2), older age (aOR 1.04, 95% CI: 1.03–1.06), being male (aOR 1.30, 1.03–1.65), obesity (aOR 2.96, 2.16–4.04), overweight (aOR 1.56, 1.20–2.04), and comorbid diabetes (aOR 4.00, 1.86–8.59) were independent predictors of hypertension. Current smokers tended to be hypertensive; however, this association did not reach statistical significance (aOR 1.40, 0.98–1.99). Men were less likely to be aware (aOR 0.62, 0.41–0.94) and to achieve control (aOR 0.36, 0.16–0.83) than women. However, diagnosed men were as likely to receive treatment as women. Being obese was associated with higher likelihood of hypertension awareness (aOR 2.27, 1.40–3.67) and treatment (aOR 2.17, 1.12–4.22), yet lower likelihood of control (aOR 0.32, 0.15–0.66). Comorbid diabetes was the strongest predictor of hypertension awareness (aOR 3.30, 1.44–7.55), with a trend towards higher likelihood of treatment and control although this did not reach statistical significance. Receiving lifestyle risk factor advice in the past three years was strongly associated with higher likelihood of treatment (aOR 4.98, 2.42–10.23) but, paradoxically, lower likelihood of hypertension control (0.27, 0.08–0.83). Binge alcohol users were less likely to be treated (aOR 0.41, 0.18–0.94).

4. Discussion

We found a prevalence of hypertension that is comparable to other estimates in the region [1012, 14, 23, 24]. Diabetes was the strongest predictor of hypertension, with gender, age, and obesity also associated with hypertension. This provides additional support of findings from other studies describing these predictors of hypertension.

Our results indicate a large antihypertensive treatment gap. In Botswana, it is possible to delink access to medical treatment from financial constraints because of the country’s favorable context as a middle-income country with free healthcare for citizens and where over 95% of the population resides within 8 km of a health facility [25]. That nearly half of hypertensives who had previously been diagnosed were untreated, and that a fifth of those untreated were in hypertensive crisis (BP > 180/110) is sobering. This contradicts the common misperceptions that hypertensives who are untreated have only mildly elevated BP, amenable to lifestyle modification alone rather than management with antihypetensive drugs. This finding also emphasizes the importance of better control of BP given that hypertensive emergency (BP ≥ 180/110 with associated evidence of new or worsening target organ damage) is associated with a one-year death rate of over 79% and median survival of 10.4 months if left untreated [26].

The observed treatment gap is likely due to a combination of delivery of poor quality care by providers/health system and limited uptake of available services by patients. Poor quality healthcare, which can be defined as delivery of services that are not compliant with evidence-based guidelines, is a global challenge that contributes to cardiovascular disease-related deaths. In their analysis of the 2016 Global Burden of Disease data, Kruk and colleagues found a toll of 2,358,000 cardiovascular deaths (or 84% of cardiovascular deaths amenable to healthcare) caused by poor-quality care [27]. Urgently needed approaches to address this treatment gap include developing national evidence-based guidelines and training providers on them, strengthening supply chain and facility management, and establishing a pathway for follow-up and reassessment of individuals who previously had only mildly elevated BP. In Botswana, the first evidence-based guidelines for management of hypertension at the primary care level were endorsed in 2016, two years following the data here presented. These were based on WHO’s Package of Essential NCDs Interventions (WHO PEN) and contained algorithms for BP screening, CV risk assessment (including glucose and lipid profile), lifestyle advice (smoking cessation, diet, and exercise), and risk-based treatment. Treatment algorithms describe use of antihypertensives for BP persistently ≥ 140/90 mmHg (thiazides, +ACE-inhibitors, +calcium channel blockers, and beta-blockers as 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th line respectively) and use of statins and aspirin if 10-year CV risk exceeding 30%. We conducted a survey of 142 government health facilities in early 2017, which revealed that service inputs such as personnel, essential medicines for CV risk management (with the exception of statins), and equipment were generally available at the facility level. Key gaps identified included provider knowledge on hypertension and other chronic NCDs and lack of recall systems for longitudinal follow-up of patients [28].

The authors recognize that five years have elapsed since data collection and that updated assessment of the prevalence of hypertension and its control (and service delivery processes related to control) is due. This could be achieved by incorporating NCDs data elements in other national, population-based surveys that may occur before the next STEPS survey, such as the triennial Botswana AIDS Impact Survey. Our reported analysis would provide a reference baseline against which future analyses and impact evaluation of the 2016 Primary Healthcare guidelines can be compared.

The fact that two-thirds of treated hypertensives had BP ≥ 140/90 (a liberal threshold given evidence that lower BP targets confer cardiovascular benefit), and obese individuals were less likely to achieve control, speaks to the need of couple treatment with strong behavioral supports for medication and healthy lifestyle adherence. The paradoxical association of lifestyle advice with lower likelihood of control in our analysis suggests that this advice, typically delivered as brief mention by providers not trained in motivational counseling, may be a marker of disease that is “difficult” to manage. There is a need to scale up effective approaches for hypertension management adherence support in resource-limited settings. One such approach, not currently available in routine care in Botswana and many developing countries, is home-based BP monitoring and motivational counseling delivered by trained lay health workers supervised by health professionals. This has been demonstrated to be effective in influencing behavior and reducing BP in cluster randomized controlled trials in Argentina [29], Malaysia, and Colombia [30].

With regard to correlates of hypertension care cascade phases, being older, obese, and having diabetes or other comorbidity were all associated with high likelihood of hypertension diagnosis. This is likely due to more interaction with healthcare services of these individuals rendering them more accepting of and available for opportunistic screening. There may also be a contribution of more proactive opportunistic screening by providers who appropriately assess these individuals at higher cardiovascular risk. We also found that hypertensive men were less likely to be aware or controlled than women, a phenomenon described in many other studies [21]. Our findings support the hypothesis that diabetes, as a chronic condition for which regular interaction with healthcare is necessary, provides a gateway for opportunistic screening for hypertension and linkage to treatment. As such it is conceivable that this would be the case for other chronic conditions including HIV, and indeed studies have found higher hypertension awareness [31], treatment [31], and control [32] among HIV-infected individuals. These findings support an approach of integrating hypertension service delivery into existing longitudinal care platforms for HIV and other chronic conditions in order to enhance hypertension detection and management, an approach that has been recommended widely [33, 34].

While our unadjusted analyses found associations between education and hypertension outcomes similarly to some studies [3537], these associations were not statistically significant in our multivariable analysis. Exploratory analyses did not identify confounding effects of variables not included in some studies: rural residence, comorbidities, and lifestyle advice. In addition to contribution of insufficient power (supported by our 95% confidence Intervals), context factors may be at play. This would be consistent with studies reporting differing relationships between education and hypertension treatment outcomes [38] and a systematic review on the determinants of hypertension noting that the association between education and hypertension is among those inconsistently reported [39].

4.1. Limitations

Our study has several notable limitations. The definition of hypertension used in this study excluded individuals who had been informed of hypertension but were not on medications and did not have elevated BP and thus may have underestimated hypertension prevalence. The definition we used was preferred as it yields more conservative estimates and has been used in many other studies [10, 1921], with which comparisons can be made. As we used the mean for all three BP measurements, there is a possibility that “white coat hypertension” may have falsely raised our estimates for hypertension prevalence. Sensitivity analyses (using only BP values from the 2nd and 3rd measurements) were reassuring in this regard, with findings similar to our primary results. The STEPS survey relied on self-report of antihypertensive treatment which may have resulted in misclassification and underestimation of hypertension prevalence and proportion treated. Only 64% of target sample size was achieved (enrollment was lower in remote, sparsely populated areas with challenging terrain such that survey staff were unable to reach communities), and only a third of the sample was male (males tended to not be home during survey visit times which included early evenings), limiting the sample’s representativeness of Botswana’s population. Nonetheless, our hypertension prevalence estimates were comparable to those from other studies in the region. The survey, whose primary objective was to estimate prevalence of NCD risk factors, did not include data on some factors known to be associated with hypertension control such as medication adherence, provider training, care facility type, and healthcare utilization. The sample size of treated hypertensives was small such that analysis of correlates of control was insufficiently powered. That said, we were able to examine sociodemographic, behavioral, and clinical factors and document associations that may influence further research and practice.

5. Conclusions

We report the first nationally representative estimates of hypertension care cascade in Botswana, which will inform planning and serve as a baseline for future evaluations of national policy. Furthermore, we contribute to the relatively sparse evidence in the African setting on determinants of hypertension control performance, examining less frequently reported correlates. We found that nearly a third of the adult population was hypertensive and that there were large gaps in each care cascade step such that only 9% of all hypertensives were controlled, and a fifth of hypertensives who were diagnosed but untreated were in hypertensive crisis. Male and obese hypertensives were less likely to be controlled, while comorbidities such as diabetes may serve as a gateway to enhance hypertension awareness and treatment. These results highlight the need to accelerate hypertension control efforts in similar settings and may inform development of innovations that improve quality and effectiveness of care and ultimately reduce CVD-related deaths.

Data Availability

The data used to support the findings of this study were from the Botswana National NCD Survey conducted in 2014. Requests for survey data can be made to the Botswana Ministry of Health and Wellness.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.

Authors’ Contributions

NT designed the study, conducted primary analysis, and drafted the manuscript. LC supported analysis and interpretation. DJH contributed to study design, analytic approach, interpretation, and manuscript drafting. MG contributed to data acquisition. All authors, including TM, GT, VL, MM, TM, JM, and SL, contributed to analysis interpretation, manuscript review, and revision.

Acknowledgments

The authors are grateful to the participants of this survey. The authors would also like to thank the Botswana Ministry of Health and Wellness’ NCD Program, the World Health Organization-Botswana country office, and the World Health Organization HQ NCD Surveillance team for conducting the survey. Dissemination of this study is supported by the Peo Project (Planning for Southern African regional Center Research Excellence in NCDs), funded by The US National Institutes of Health/National Cancer Institute (Grant no. 5P20CA210283).