Application of a Theorem in Stochastic Models of Elections

Table 11

British Joint model in 1979 normalized with respect to the conservative party.

Party	Coefficient	Est	Lower 95% bound	Upper 95% bound
	Spatial Coeff  𝛽	0.268^∗∗∗	0.190	0.346
Labor	income	−0.102^∗	−0.203	−0.001
	relig	−0.233^∗	−0.443	−0.022
	manlab	+1.034^∗∗∗	0.514	1.554
	stown	0.105	−0.207	0.418
	educ	0.042	−0.057	0.142
	valence	0.574	−0.363	1.511
Liberal Dems	income	−0.111	−0.248	0.024
	relig	0.006	−0.286	0.299
	manlab	0.395	−0.379	1.170
	stown	−0.235	−0.666	0.195
	educ	0.121	−0.002	0.245
	valence	−0.883	−2.130	0.363
	Log-likelihood	^∗∗∗prob<.001
	=−361.6	^∗prob<.0.05