Uncertainty Analysis of Energy Production for a 3 × 50 MW AC Photovoltaic Project Based on Solar Resources

Table 11

Confidence limits for the PV layout of PV plant 1- and 10-year periods, without power degradation.

Probability of exceedance (%)	1 year		10 years
	Net energy output (MWh/annum)	Capacity factor (%/annum)	Net energy output (MWh/annum)	Capacity factor (%/annum)
99	86,683	15.3%	88,146	15.5%
90	97,700	17.2%	98,506	17.4%
75	104,101	18.3%	104,525	18.4%
60	108,542	19.1%	108,701	19.1%
50	111,213	19.6%	111,213	19.6%
25	118,325	20.8%	117,900	20.8%
Total	104,761	18.4%	104,832	18.5%