International Journal of Stochastic Analysis / 2013 / Article / Fig 4

Research Article

Risk of Infectious Disease Outbreaks by Imported Cases with Application to the European Football Championship 2012

Figure 4

The solid curve is the expectation of the total number of imported cases in scenario (b) in the function of the immunization rate in France. At least with probability 0.75 the number of imported cases is smaller than the dashed curve and with probability 0.9 is smaller than the dot-dashed curve (calculated from Chebyshev’s inequality). The parameter values are the same as in Figure 3(b).

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