Research Article
Assessing the Impact of Increasing Antimicrobial Resistance of Vibrio cholerae on the Future Trends of Cholera Epidemic
Table 1
Model parameters and their interpretations.
| Parameter definition | Symbol | Units | Point estimate | Range | Source |
| Recruitment rate | | People/year | 100 000 | — | [15] | Bacteria death rate | | /day | 0.033 | 0.03–0.033 | [7, 8, 15] | Bacteria shedding rate | | cells/mL day | 30.0 | 10.0–50.0 | [8, 15] | Bacteria shedding rate | | cells/mL day | 50.0 | 10.0–50.0 | [8, 15] | Natural mortality rate | | /year | 0.0142 | 0.0142–0.02 | [15] | Bacteria ingestion rate | | /day | 0.5 | 0.15–1.5 | [8, 15] | Half saturation constant | | cells/mL | | | [8, 15] | Half saturation constant | | cells/mL | | | [8, 15] | Cholera related mortality rate | | /year | 0.0240 | 0.0240–0.4622 | [8] | Cholera related mortality rate | | /year | 0.4622 | 0.0240–0.4622 | [8] | Recovery rate for sensitive strain | | /year | 22.6 | 11.3–43.2 | [8] | Recovery rate for resistant strain | | /year | 21.6 | 11.3–43.2 | [8] | Proportion of infected individuals who develop drug resistance | | — | 0.5 | 0.001–0.5 | Assumed |
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