Research Article

Assessing the Impact of Increasing Antimicrobial Resistance of Vibrio cholerae on the Future Trends of Cholera Epidemic

Table 1

Model parameters and their interpretations.

Parameter definition Symbol Units Point estimate Range Source

Recruitment rate People/year100 000[15]
Bacteria death rate /day0.0330.03–0.033[7, 8, 15]
Bacteria shedding rate cells/mL day30.010.0–50.0[8, 15]
Bacteria shedding rate cells/mL day50.010.0–50.0[8, 15]
Natural mortality rate /year0.01420.0142–0.02[15]
Bacteria ingestion rate /day0.50.15–1.5[8, 15]
Half saturation constant cells/mL [8, 15]
Half saturation constant cells/mL [8, 15]
Cholera related mortality rate /year0.02400.0240–0.4622[8]
Cholera related mortality rate /year0.46220.0240–0.4622[8]
Recovery rate for sensitive strain /year22.611.3–43.2[8]
Recovery rate for resistant strain /year21.611.3–43.2[8]
Proportion of infected individuals who develop drug resistance 0.50.001–0.5Assumed