Research Article | Open Access
Alison Watts, "Fund-Raising Games Played on a Network", International Scholarly Research Notices, vol. 2013, Article ID 298595, 10 pages, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1155/2013/298595
Fund-Raising Games Played on a Network
It is well known among fund-raisers that many people contribute to charities or organizations only when asked and that large donations are more likely to occur as a fund-raiser increases the time spent soliciting and/or researching a potential donor. As fund-raisers can only spend time with research donors that they are aware of, the relationship (or links) between fund-raisers and donors is quite important. We model a fund-raising game where fund-raisers can only solicit donors whom they are tied to and analyze how this network influences donation requests. We show that if this network is incomplete and if donors experience extreme donor fatigue, then fund-raisers will spend more time soliciting donors that other fund-raisers are also tied to and less time soliciting donors that they are the only fund-raiser tied to. If instead donors experience mild donor fatigue, then fund-raisers prefer donors that they are the only fund-raiser tied to over donors that are shared with other fund-raisers. If donors are potential givers with no donor fatigue, then multiple equilibria may exist. Stochastic stability is used to refine the number of equilibria in this case, and conditions are given under which the unique stochastically stable equilibrium is efficient.
In 2005, seventy percent of all US households gave to charity donations totalling over $200 billion; see Andreoni . In Canada, private donations to charity represent approximately two percent of GDP (this figure includes volunteer time; private monetary donations to charity represent approximately one percent of GDP.); see Hall et al. . This high charitable contribution rate is due in part to the “power of the ask” as most people contribute to charities or organizations only when asked; see Yörük , Yörük , Andreoni , Andreoni and Payne , and Keegan . Large donations are more likely to occur as a fund-raiser increases the time spent with the potential donor and/or increases the time spent researching the potential donor. (For instance, Dellavigna et al.  compare donation rates from a door to door fund-raising drive to donations received via the mail or the Internet. They find that the mail and Internet donation rate is around 0.0001 percent while the face to face donation rate is over 6 percent. Thus, fund-raisers can greatly increase donations by using the more time consuming face to face solicitation technique.) However, a fund-raiser can only research or solicit a donor that he is aware of or has some sort of tie to; for instance, a fund-raiser may research or solicit a donor who has responded in the past to a mail out campaign. Thus, the relationship or ties between fund-raisers and donors is quite important. However, the network of ties between fund-raisers and donors and this network’s influence on donations has not been explored in the fund-raising literature. We analyze such a network and examine how this network influences “the ask” or donation requests.
In particular, we show that if the fund-raiser donor network is incomplete, then whether or not a fund-raiser shares a donor tie with other fund-raisers becomes important and will influence donation requests. For instance, if donors experience extreme “donor fatigue,” then fund-raisers prefer shared donor ties, while if donors experience mild “donor fatigue” then fund-raisers prefer unshared donor ties. Additionally, if donors are identified as potential givers with no “donor fatigue,” then multiple equilibria may exist. We use stochastic stability to refine the number of equilibria and give conditions under which the unique stochastically stable state is efficient.
The basic model and results are as follows. Fund-raisers are tied to donors in a network, and fund-raisers may only ask donors whom they are tied to for donations. (Some companies sell donor information; thus, a fund-raiser may learn of a donor in this fashion and may decide to research and solicit him. We model this as just an existing tie between the fund-raiser and donor. Thus, we assume a fixed network for tractability purposes and discuss the endogenous network case in the conclusion.) If multiple fund-raisers are tied to the same donor, then they compete with each other for donations in an average donation sharing game. In such a game, a donor’s total donation increases as the total time all fund-raisers spend with the donor increases and donations are split among fund-raisers in proportion to the time each fund-raiser spends soliciting or researching the donor. (Note that we assume that donors are homogeneous or that a donor's donation to a particular fund-raiser depends only on time spent with the donor by each fund-raiser and does not depend on the identity of the donor. We make this assumption because our focus is on how the fund-raiser donor network affects solicitation time and assuming homogeneous donors allows us to concentrate on this network effect.) If there is a monopoly fund-raiser who is tied to all donors, then this fund-raiser splits his solicitation efforts evenly among all donors if donors experience “donor fatigue” or if donations increase at a decreasing rate with solicitation time, and thus donors become less and less responsive to solicitation appeals. The monopoly fund-raiser picks a single donor and spends all his time soliciting this donor if donors are thought of as potential givers with no donor fatigue whose donations increase at an increasing rate with solicitation time. These results are echoed if multiple fund-raisers compete on the complete network where every fund-raiser is tied to every donor. Here, fund-raisers split their solicitation efforts evenly among donors if donor fatigue is present or if the returns to solicitation time are increasing at a decreasing rate, while all fund-raisers spend all their time soliciting the same donor if the returns to solicitation time are increasing at an increasing rate.
The results change if the fund-raiser donor network is incomplete or if not all donors are tied to all fund-raisers. For instance, alumni donors are tied to colleges and/or universities that they attended and not to all institutions, religious donors are tied to religious organizations of which they are members, and charities in general have lists of donors who have responded to past mail out campaigns where again not all donors will respond to all campaigns.
First, we assume that donors experience donor fatigue or that donations are increasing at a decreasing rate with time spent soliciting donations. (Donor fatigue as defined in Yörük  occurs when a donor is solicited repeatedly and eventually stops giving or gives less than he gave previously. In our model, donors are not asked to give repeatedly instead fund-raisers decide how much effort or time to spend with a donor and donations occur at the end of this time. Thus, in our model donor fatigue occurs when each unit of time spent by the fund-raiser with a particular donor results in a smaller marginal donation than the previous unit. Note that one can reinterpret our model as allowing donations to flow to the fund-raiser after each unit of time spent soliciting a particular donor. Donations would then decrease with repeated solicitation, and the two definitions of donor fatigue would coincide.) Here, fund-raisers will no longer split their time evenly among donors. In an incomplete network, some fund-raisers may have access to donors that others do not while other donors may be tied to multiple fund-raisers. If donors experience extreme donor fatigue or if the donation-solicitation function is fairly curved, then as a fund-raiser spends extra time with a donor although the total donation does not increase much the fund-raiser’s share of the donation increases quite a bit. Thus, the fund-raiser spends more time soliciting donors that other fund-raisers are also tied to and less time soliciting donors that he is the only fund-raiser tied to. Although one might expect fund-raisers to prefer shared donor ties for any concave donor-solicitation function, we find that this is not the case. If donors experience mild donor fatigue or if the donation-solicitation function is not as curved, then the fund-raiser prefers un-shared donor ties and the fund-raiser will spend more time soliciting donors that other fund-raisers are not tied to and less time soliciting donors that other fund-raisers are also tied to.
Next, we consider donors who experience no donor fatigue, and we allow donations to increase in solicitation time at an increasing rate. Here all fund-raisers would prefer to solicit the same donor. If the network is incomplete, then this may not be possible. Even if there exists a donor who all fund-raisers are tied to, not all fund-raisers will have access to every other donor and multiple equilibria will exist. At most equilibria, multiple donors will be solicited since once a fund-raiser solicits a potential donor, the incompleteness of the network may not allow other fund-raisers also to solicit this same donor; there can exist a large number of these inefficient equilibria. As the number of equilibria may be quite large, stochastic stability is used in order to refine the number of equilibria. Trembles or mistakes are allowed to occur where after a fund-raiser has decided how much time to spend with a donor, there is a positive probability that a mistake occurs and that his solicitation decisions are reallocated. If the network is such that there is a donor whom all fund-raisers are tied to, then at the unique stochastically stable state all fund-raisers will solicit this donor which coincides with the efficient Nash equilibrium.
Our paper contributes to several literatures. First, it contributes to the literature on the strategic analysis of fund-raising. Andreoni  offers an excellent literature review on this topic. This literature answers questions such as how fund-raisers react to government grants (see Andreoni and Payne ) as well as how competition among charities can result in too many or too few solicitations (see Mungan and Yörük  and Yörük ). Our paper adds to this literature by allowing fund-raisers to behave strategically while competing for donations on a network. Other fund-raising literatures analyze the strategic behavior of donors in a public good context. (For simplicity, we do not model the strategic behavior of donors explicitly but focus instead on competition between fund-raisers on a network. Similarly, in models of Cournot competition firms are modeled as strategic players and the strategic behavior of consumers is not modeled explicitly, but instead consumers are assumed to follow a demand function. In our model, donors follow a donation function based on the time fund-raisers spend soliciting donations which is similar in spirit to the assumption of Andreoni and Payne  that donors only donate if asked.) See Marx and Matthews , Bagnoli and Lipman , and Andreoni  for a literature review. Recent empirical studies show that fund-raising behavior is crucial to donations; see Yörük , Yörük , and Dellavigna et al. . Additionally, Meer and Rosen  document the importance of personal solicitations in fund-raising, van Diepen et al.  document the effect of direct mailings on donations, and Andreoni and Rao  show experimentally the importance of asking for a donation.
Second, our paper contributes to the literature on economic and social networks; a literature review is given by Jackson , and Jackson and Wolinsky  is a founding paper of this literature. Specifically, our model adds to the literature on applications of social and economic networks. In our model, donations or money can only flow along social links. Previous papers have looked at the flow of information regarding coauthors or job prospects along links (see Jackson and Wolinsky  and Calvó-Armengol and Jackson ) as well as the flow of financial help along social links in developing countries (see Bramoullé and Kranton  and Fafchamps and Lund ) and the flow of bids or money in bipartite buyer-seller networks (see Kranton and Minehart [20, 21]); for further examples of network applications, see Jackson . Additionally, we employ stochastic stability in a network context as does Jackson and Watts [22, 23].
Lastly, we assume donations are divided among fund-raisers in proportion to the time spent by the fund-raiser with the donor. Thus, our paper is related to the literature on productive rent-seeking games of Skaperdas  as well as to the literature on average surplus and average cost sharing games of Moulin , Moulin and Watts , and Watts . (In fact, our model can be interpreted as a model where people have rights (or ties) to multiple common use resources. For instance, consider a group of fisherman where each fisherman has rights to fish on a subset of shared pools and must decide how much time to spend fishing on each pool given the decisions of the other fishermen.) The current paper differs from these previous papers in that the average surplus sharing or rent-seeking game is played on a network and each fund-raiser may solicit multiple donors.
The paper proceeds as follows. The basic model and monopoly fund-raiser results are presented in Sections 2 and 3. In Section 4, fund-raisers compete on the complete network. While the incomplete network results are presented in Section 5, and concluding remarks are presented in Section 6.
2. Basic Model
There are potential donors. Let represent the set of fund-raisers. Each has total time to spend asking for donations. Fund-raiser can divide among the set where is the time spends with donor to solicit his donation and . Let , , and . Let and .
The profit receives equals his donations net fund-raising costs, where we assume a constant marginal cost of fund-raising equal to . The donation receives from depends on the time all fund-raisers spend with and is represented by , while the profit receives from is represented by . We assume and . Additionally, we assume that if is any permutation of , then . Let the total profits that receives be represented by . For brevity, we will often abbreviate by and by .
We assume that is small enough so that in all of the following results each fund-raiser will select such that . Thus, for simplicity we will ignore fund-raising costs in what follows.
3. Monopoly Fund-Raiser
As a benchmark, we first consider the case where there is no competition for donors by fund-raisers, or where . We assume here that the monopoly fund-raiser has ties or links to all donors and thus that the fund-raiser donor network is complete. (Of course, if the fund-raiser were tied to less than donors, then the results below could easily be adjusted.)
The monopoly fund-raiser wants to choose to maximize his total expected profits . In the first proposition, we assume donor fatigue is present or that the donation function, , is concave.
Proposition 1. Let and assume . Then maximizes total expected profits by setting for all .
Proof. As , agent will always choose to use all of his time or to set . Agent wants to maximize or subject to . First order conditions yield for all . Given and , these first order conditions are only met if or if for all . Since , the corresponding bordered Hessian has leading principal minors which alternate in sign. Thus, is negative definite on and our solution is a maximum.
In the second proposition, it is assumed that there is no donor fatigue or that the donation function is convex.
Proposition 2. Let and assume . Then maximizes total expected profits by setting for some and for all , .
Proof. Agent wants to maximize or to such that . It is easy to check that given and , the solution to the maximization problem is a corner solution where for some .
4. Fund-Raisers Competing on the Complete Network
Next we consider the case where the number of fund-raisers . In this section, we assume that each fund-raiser has access to every donor. If we consider a fund-raiser’s access to a donor as a link between a fund-raiser and a donor, then every fund-raiser is linked to every donor and the fund-raiser donor network is complete. The case of an incomplete network is considered in Section 5.
4.1. Average Donation Sharing Model on the Complete Network
Fund-raisers compete against each other in an average donation sharing game for each agent ’s donation. Fund-raisers simultaneously choose time spent with donors and if multiple fund-raisers solicit the same donor, then the donation is split among fund-raisers in proportion to the time spent with the donor. Formally, the donation expects from equals
for some function such that and . Here, represents the total donations that donor will make given the total time all fund-raisers spend soliciting ’s donation. For simplicity, we assume this function is the same for all donors. Additionally, note that we use the convention that if for all , then .
We show next that allowing multiple fund-raisers to compete on the complete network generates results similar to those found in the monopoly fund-raiser case.
4.2. Average Donation Sharing Results on the Complete Network
Proposition 3. Let , , and assume fund-raisers compete in an average donation sharing game. At the symmetric Nash equilibrium of the average donation sharing game, for all and .
Proof. We find ’s best response to for all , , and . Since we know that . Thus ’s maximization problem is
with Lagrangian and first order conditions
If for all , , and , then for all and the solution to the above first order conditions is for all . To check the second order conditions, let represent ’s opportunity set for donations from given for all , . Thus, . It is easy to check that and for all . Thus, is negative definite on . So for all is ’s best response to for all , , and , and our solution is a Nash equilibrium.
Note that we focus on only the symmetric Nash equilibrium in this proposition and in the first part of Section 5 where the donation function is concave. The reason is threefold. First, we want to compare the Nash equilibria of the game played on the complete network to the game played on the incomplete network. Concentrating on the symmetric Nash in each situation facilitates this comparison. Second, focusing on the symmetric Nash simplifies our calculations. The first order conditions of our maximization problem are quite complex making it extremely difficult to compute other possible equilibria. Lastly, we hypothesize that in many cases the symmetric Nash is the unique Nash, although proving this is quite difficult and is beyond the scope of the current paper.
Proposition 4. Let , , and assume fund-raisers compete in an average donation sharing game. At all Nash equilibria there exists such that for all .
Proof. Assume that there exists such that for all , . We find ’s best response. Here, with . Since and , does best by choosing and for all , . Next we show that all Nash equilibria are of this type. Consider ’s best response to a fixed . Here ’s best response is to set for some such that . Given that this is true for all , all Nash equilibria must be as described.
5. Competition on an Incomplete Network
Let represent a network of connections between fund-raisers and donors. If and , then if and are linked. Note that for all links, , we will use the convention that the fund-raiser is always listed first.
Let ; thus, represents the set of fund-raisers that is directly linked with in graph . Let represent the cardinality of set . Let and ; thus, represents the set of donors that is linked to in such that each donor in the set has exactly direct links.
Let fund-raisers compete in an average donation sharing game and assume is fixed. Here where such that .
5.1. Competition on an Incomplete Network with Donor Fatigue
In this section, donor fatigue is present or the donation function is assumed to be concave. Thus, every unit of time a fund-raiser spends with a donor increases his total donation less than does the previous unit of time.
The following example illustrates how the results for the incomplete network are quite different from those found for the complete network. The example shows that time spent soliciting donations depends on both the network configuration and on the degree of donor fatigue or on the curvature of .
Example 5 (Illustrating the effects of severe versus mild donor fatigue). Let and . Let . Let and . Notice that in network each fund-raiser is tied to the same two donors. In network each fund-raiser again has two ties, but this time only one donor is common to both fund-raisers while each fund-raiser also has one tie to a donor that the other has no ties to. By Proposition 3, the symmetric Nash equilibrium of the average donation sharing game with network is for all , . Next, we consider the symmetric Nash equilibrium of the average donation sharing game with network . Here and is similar. First order conditions for fund-raiser yield and , with fund-raiser having similar first order conditions. At the symmetric Nash equilibrium and . Thus, if donor fatigue is severe or if the donation function is fairly curved, then fund-raisers spend more time with the shared donor than they do in network and less time with the unshared donor. However, if we decrease the level of donor fatigue or change so that , then at the symmetric Nash of the game with , and . Now fund-raisers spend less time with the shared donor and more time with the unshared donor.
Next, we generalize the mild versus severe donor fatigue results of these examples. Consider the general case of any concave donation function, , and compare two symmetric networks: one where all fund-raisers are linked to the same set of donors, and one where each fund-raiser has the same number of un-shared ties and has the same set of shared ties.
Specifically, let and for and . Let . Here each donor has shared links. Let . Here each donor has un-shared ties and shared ties.
Proposition 6. Let and . At the symmetric Nash equilibrium of the average donation sharing game with , for all , . At the symmetric Nash equilibrium of the average donation sharing game with ,(1)if for all , then (a) for all and and(b) for all and , and (2)if for all , then (a) for all and and(b) for all and .
Proof. The statement regarding the symmetric Nash equilibrium for the game with is proven true by Proposition 3. Next we find the symmetric Nash equilibrium for the average donation sharing game with . Here while is similar. The first order conditions for the Nash equilibrium require that for all and . At the symmetric Nash equilibrium, for all and and for all . In addition we know that . Thus, we can rewrite the first order conditions as
If to the contrary we let , then the first order conditions simplify to . If for all , then our first order condition will not be met. Fund-raiser 1 must increase the left hand side of (5) and decrease the right hand side. Since and , we know that must be decreased and thus increased. Thus, at the Nash equilibrium and . If instead for all , then in order to meet (5) we must increase and so at the Nash and .
Notice that our condition and our assumptions , , and together imply that is significantly larger than which is true when is fairly curved. For the function , the condition is met when , while the condition is met when for.
Proposition 6 says that if donor fatigue is severe or if the donation function, , is fairly curved, then fund-raisers spend more time with shared ties and less time with un-shared ties. While if donor fatigue is mild or if the donation function is straighter, then fund-raisers spend more time with un-shared donors and less time with shared donors. Intuitively, if donor fatigue is severe, then when a fund-raiser spends more time with a donor, the donor’s total donation does not increase much. Thus, the benefit from increasing time spent with an un-shared donor tie is not very large. However, if a fund-raiser spends more time with a shared donor tie, then although this donor’s total donation may not increase much the fund-raiser’s share of this donation does increase. Thus, it is worthwhile for the fund-raiser to increase time spent with shared ties in order to steal donations from other fund-raisers. If donor fatigue is mild, then as the fund-raiser increases the time spent with a donor, his total donation increases more than in the severe donor fatigue case making it worthwhile for the fund-raiser to spend extra time with un-shared donors.
Next we consider an example with extreme donor fatigue and compare three networks; in all three networks each fund-raiser is tied to donors. In the first network, , all fund-raisers are linked to the same set of donors. In network , each fund-raiser has only one shared tie and un-shared ties. In , each fund-raiser has only one un-shared tie and shared ties.
Example 7 (Severe donor fatigue and the number of shared ties). Let and for and . Let . Let , , and . By Proposition 3, the symmetric Nash equilibrium of the average donation sharing game with network is for all , . For at the symmetric Nash for , and . While at the symmetric Nash for , and for . Again if donor fatigue is severe, then the fund-raisers spend more time with the shared donors and less time with the un-shared donors. Notice that fund-raisers spend more time per link with both un-shared and shared links in the network with fewer shared ties () than in , but the ratio of time spent with un-shared to shared links () is the same for these two networks. Thus, as the number of shared ties increases, a fund-raiser’s time per donor decreases since a fund-raiser with severe donor fatigue now has more of the time-consuming shared ties.
Next we generalize the results of Proposition 6 to the case of fund-raisers. Let there be fund-raisers and donors. Let be a symmetric network such that each fund-raiser has ties to donors shared with no one, ties to donors shared with one other fund-raiser, ties to donors shared with two other fund-raisers,…, and ties to donors shared with all other fund-raisers, where for all . Let , be a complete network where each fund-raiser is tied to each and . Note that in network each fund-raiser has the same number of links as he does in .
At the symmetric Nash equilibrium of the average donation sharing game with any we define as the time spends with each of his ties.
Proposition 8. If + for all and , then at the symmetric Nash equilibrium of the average donation sharing game with any , . At the symmetric Nash equilibrium of the game with , for all , .
Thus, Proposition 8 says that if donor fatigue is mild, then fund-raisers spend the most time soliciting donors that they are the only fund-raiser tied to and the least time soliciting donors that all fund-raisers are tied to.
Essentially the condition + requires that is not too big or that the average of is not too much bigger than the slope of . If , then the condition + is equivalent to requiring and is true for all but does not hold true for .
Proof. The results regarding the complete network are proved true by Proposition 3. Consider any fixed network . Let represent the set of donors each having ties in , . Thus, . Let represent an element of this set. Profits for fund-raiser are represented as
with and . First order conditions require
and , where , , for , , . The first order conditions for , are similar.
At the symmetric Nash equilibrium for all , , , and . We can rewrite the first order conditions as where .
Assume to the contrary that for all . Then, by assumption and the first order conditions are not met. In order to meet the first order conditions, we must decrease in comparison to and decrease in comparison to , and so forth. Since , , we know that must be increased in comparison to for all . Thus, in equilibrium .
Proposition 9. If for , then at the symmetric Nash equilibrium of the average donation sharing game with any , .
Corollary 10. If , then at the symmetric Nash equilibrium of the average donation sharing game with any , .
Proof. The following is a proof of Corollary 10 as the proof of Proposition 9 is similar. Profits for fund-raiser 1 are as given by (6) and first order conditions are as given by (7). Thus, in equilibrium we must have for , , , , , and . Assume to the contrary that . Then, by assumption . In order to meet our first order conditions, we must increase the left hand side of this inequality and decrease the right hand side. Since and , this requires that we decrease and increase and so in equilibrium .
Proposition 9 says that if donor fatigue is severe, then fund-raisers spend more time soliciting donors that at least one other fund-raiser is also tied to over donors that they are the only fund-raiser tied to. We additionally provide Corollary 10 as it is fairly easy to meet the conditions of Proposition 9 for , but as increases the conditions are only met as donor fatigue becomes more severe. For instance if and , then the conditions of Proposition 9 are met for . For , the conditions are met if and if , the conditions are met if . (We stop our calculations at as represents the number of fund-raisers who are tied to a particular donor and in a fund-raising network one would expect for this number not to be too large.) Thus, if donor fatigue is severe enough, then is the smallest for . As the following example illustrates if donor fatigue is not as severe it is possible for but .
Example 11 (Donor fatigue and the relationship between , , and ). Let and . Let and let . A graph of is provided in Figure 1. In network each fund-raiser has one tie to an un-shared donor, two ties to donors shared with one other fund-raiser, and one tie to donor , while in network all fund-raisers are tied to the same set of four donors. By Proposition 3, the symmetric Nash equilibrium of the average donation sharing game with network is for all , . Next we consider the symmetric Nash equilibrium of the game with network . Here and and are similar. First we consider a case of extreme donor fatigue. Let ; then at the symmetric Nash equilibrium , , and for , . Thus, or the tie to donor who is tied to all fund-raisers is weighted least while the ties to donors shared among two fund-raisers are weighted most. Next we allow the extreme donor fatigue to be more severe. Let , then at the symmetric Nash equilibrium , , and for , . Here and the tie to the donor shared with no one is weighted least while the ties to donors shared among two fund-raisers are weighted most. Finally, we consider a case of mild donor fatigue. Let , then at the symmetric Nash equilibrium , , and for , . Just as predicted in Proposition 8, and the tie to donor who is tied to all fund-raisers is weighted least while the tie to the donor shared with no one is weighted most.
5.2. Competition on an Incomplete Network with No Donor Fatigue
Next we consider a case of no donor fatigue where the donation function is convex or where all of the time spent with a donor significantly increases donations. Here agents want to spend time with donors that others are soliciting. However, the network may not allow all fund-raisers to solicit a popular donor; this can create multiple equilibria where several donors are solicited at the same time as can be seen in the following example.
Example 12 (Multiple equilibria with no donor fatigue). Let and . Let and . Let . A graph of is provided in Figure 1. Each fund-raiser has one tie to a donor untied to other fund-raisers, two ties to donors shared with one other fund-raiser, and one tie to a donor (donor ) shared with all fund-raisers. As and , each fund-raiser wants to solicit only one donor and prefers to solicit a donor who is already being solicited by others. In this example, there are 14 pure Nash equilibrium: , all other ; , all other ; , all other ; , all other ; , all other . There are 9 other Nash equilibria similar to those described in , , and above where two fund-raisers put all their weight on a shared tie and the third fund-raiser is left to put all his weight on a donor shared with no other fund-raisers. There are also several mixed Nash. For instance there is a mixed Nash where each with probability and each with probability and all other . There are also a number of mixed Nash similar to the following one where and fund-raiser plays all with positive probability. Note that pure Nash above where all fund-raisers solicit donor generates the highest payoff for the fund-raisers. However, at all of the other Nash equilibria, donor is either unsolicited or solicited by only one fund-raiser.
As the above example shows the number of Nash equilibria can be quite large for the case where . Next, we try to refine the number of Nash equilibria using stochastic stability.
Dynamics. Let time be discrete and represented as . Let be a vector representing the time the fund-raisers spend soliciting donations in period . At each period , one fund-raiser is chosen at random to update his strategy, . Fund-raiser will choose a myopic best response to . After this choice is made, there is a small probability that another strategy is chosen instead. Thus, with probability there is a mistake and the strategy is chosen at random with each possible receiving positive probability.
Stochastic Stability. This process determines a finite state, irreducible, aperiodic Markov chain and has a unique invariant probability distribution over strategy configurations. A strategy is stochastically stable if it is in the support of . (See Freidlin and Wentzell  or Young  for further discussion of stochastic stability.)
Let represent a network such that there is exactly one donor, say donor 1, that all fund-raisers are tied to; all other donors have strictly less than ties.
Proposition 13. Assume and . At the unique stochastically stable equilibrium of the average donation sharing game with any , for all , .
Proof. First we show that setting for all is a Nash equilibrium. Given all , set , we show that ’s best response is to set . Assume to the contrary that such that and that for some . Then . Since and , , which is ’s payoff if . Similarly, for any other , ’s payoff will be smaller than . Thus, sets and our proposed strategy is a Nash equilibrium. (Note that at all Nash equilibrium each fund-raiser sets for some since ’s payoff, , from soliciting a donor who others are soliciting with total time , is increasing in both and ; thus would like to spend all his time soliciting the donor with the largest such .)
Let represent the equilibrium where for all . If is the unique Nash equilibrium of the game, then it is trivially stochastically stable. Next, we assume that there is at least one other Nash equilibrium say . Let , we will consider the case of below. To leave state and move to state takes at least trembles (where , , represents the integer closest to such that ). To see this note that if trembles occur, then the largest payoff a trembling agent could have is if all trembling fund-raisers solicit the same new donor resulting in a payoff for each trembling agent of ; this is because is strictly increasing in whenever and . If the trembling agent goes back to his strategy his payoff would be which is larger than . Thus, trembles are not enough to leave state .
However, to go from state to state takes at most trembles for . To see this notice that at the equilibrium not all fund-raisers are soliciting the same donor, since in there is only one donor who is linked to all fund-raisers and this donor is solicited by all fund-raisers at the equilibrium. Thus, at the equilibrium, there exists a donor, say , such that the number of fund-raisers soliciting is less than or equal to . First, assume that the number of fund-raisers soliciting is less than . Let fund-raisers not soliciting tremble to the equilibrium. Then any fund-raiser soliciting has incentive to move to the equilibrium as his payoff will increase from at most to . Similarly, all remaining fund-raisers will move to the equilibrium. Second, let the number of fund-raisers soliciting equal . Again let other fund-raisers tremble to the equilibrium. Next, the remaining fund-raiser who is also not soliciting donor will move to the equilibrium as his payoff will increase from to . Similarly, all remaining fund-raisers will move to . Thus, trembles are enough to move from state to state .
Lastly, consider the case where and where an alternative Nash, , exists. To move from to takes two trembles, since if either fund-raiser is soliciting donor , then the other fund-raiser has incentive to also solicit donor . However, to leave and move to takes just one tremble. Here if one fund-raiser trembles to his strategy, then the other fund-raiser will also switch to solicit donor . By Young  only states with the minimum resistance are stochastically stable; so is stochastically stable while is not.
Notice here that the unique stochastically stable state coincides with the efficient Nash equilibrium, since all players are better off soliciting the same donor when the donation function is increasing and convex.
Remark 14. If the network has multiple donors each of whom are linked to all fund-raisers, then the above proof can be modified to show that there will be multiple stochastically stable states. At each stochastically stable state, each fund-raiser spends all his time soliciting the same donor.
We showed that donation requests are influenced by the fund-raiser donor network and in particular by whether or not a fund-raiser shares a donor tie with other fund-raisers. For instance, in an incomplete network with extreme donor fatigue fund-raisers spend more time soliciting donors shared with other fund-raisers as compared with un-shared donor ties. If donors experience instead mild donor fatigue, then fund-raisers prefer to solicit donors un-shared with other fund-raisers. Additionally, we examined the case of no donor fatigue and showed that multiple equilibria may exist; stochastic stability was used to refine the number of equilibria.
A policy implication for fund-raisers is that fund-raisers should examine the fund-raiser donor network and the level of donor fatigue and use this information when deciding how much time to spend soliciting particular donors. Fund-raisers can learn the fund-raiser donor network by joining pools in which many fund-raisers share information about donors; we know such pools are quite prevalent from the popular press, see Kadet . Additionally, if a fund-raiser is spending a lot of time with a donor in order to secure a large donation, then the fund-raiser will probably learn from the donor whether or not he is also being solicited by others. Fund-raisers can learn the level of donor fatigue by observing a donor’s donation history; since donor fatigue occurs when an increase in solicitation efforts results in a smaller marginal donation, the level of donor fatigue could be learned by analyzing past and present donor databases. If a fund-raiser learns that donor fatigue is mild, then he may be better off not joining pools where he must share information about his donors with other fund-raisers, while if donor fatigue is severe, then joining such pools would be beneficial.
If a fund-raiser learns of a set of donors who are solicited by only a few or no other fund-raisers and if donor fatigue is mild, then the fund-raiser may want to focus his efforts on this set of donors. If a fund-raiser learns of a set of donors who are solicited by numerous other fund-raisers and if donor fatigue is severe, then the fund-raiser may actually want to spend time soliciting these donors as although doing so may not increase these donors’ total donations to all fund-raisers much it may instead allow this fund-raiser to “steal” donations that would otherwise go to someone else.
The model may be extended in several ways. For instance, we could allow heterogeneous donors to exist on the same network where some donors are more willing to donate money than others. It would be interesting to see how the placement of such a donor onto the network would influence donation requests. As the current model is already quite complicated, solving this issue is beyond the scope of the current paper and is left for future research.
Additionally, we have assumed for simplicity that the network is exogenous; however, it would be interesting to allow the network to be endogenous. For instance, perhaps every period fund-raisers could learn of new donors and have a chance to add these new links as well as a chance to sever existing links. Here, if donor fatigue is mild, then fund-raisers may prefer to sever links shared with others and attempt to find new unlinked donors to link to by purchasing donor lists or through mail out campaigns or by sponsoring fund-raising events where existing donors are encouraged to bring their friends. If donor fatigue is extreme, then fund-raisers may want to buy or share information about potential donors and add ties to donors who are already linked to other fund-raisers.
The author thanks Chi-ang Lin, Maria Arbatskaya, Philip Grossman, Laura Kalambokidis, and David Yi for valuable comments and criticisms.
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