Research Article

FLUed: A Novel Four-Layer Model for Simulating Epidemic Dynamics and Assessing Intervention Policies

Table 4

Comparisons of (a) prevention effects and (b) cost-efficacies among five intervention policies.

Initial outbreak areas Intervention policyPolicy activation time
The beginning of OctoberThe end of OctoberThe end of November

(a) Prevention effects indicatorDa'an district of Taipei City1. Inoculate individuals at random40.3410.633.00
2. Locate and inoculate those who have come into contact with infected individuals2.161.981.62
3. Encourage hand washing and mask wearing by the general public during flu pandemic28.686.922.65
4. Quarantine infected individuals until complete recovery. Home quarantine individuals who have come into contact with them for a minimum of 8 days1.841.671.45
5. Give antiviral medicines in advance for prevention purposes41.557.382.64
Wuri district of Taichung City1. Inoculate individuals at random14.795.602.05
2. Locate and inoculate those who have come into contact with infected individuals3.853.002.14
3. Encourage hand washing and mask wearing by the general public during flu pandemic10.835.023.26
4. Quarantine infected individuals until complete recovery. Home quarantine individuals who have come into contact with them for a minimum of 8 days1.861.801.46
5. Give antiviral medicines in advance for prevention purposes15.116.963.38

(b) Cost-efficacies indicatorDa'an district of Taipei City1. Inoculate individuals at random0.810.750.55
2. Locate and inoculate those who have come into contact with infected individuals0.450.410.32
3. Encourage hand washing and mask wearing by the general public during flu pandemic1.391.230.90
4. Quarantine infected individuals until complete recovery. Home quarantine individuals who have come into contact with them for a minimum of 8 days0.010.010.01
5. Give antiviral medicines in advance for prevention purposes0.810.720.52
Wuri district of Taichung City1. Inoculate individuals at random0.280.250.20
2. Locate and inoculate those who have come into contact with infected individuals0.220.200.16
3. Encourage hand washing and mask wearing by the general public during flu pandemic0.480.420.36
4. Quarantine infected individuals until complete recovery. Home quarantine individuals who have come into contact with them for a minimum of 8 days0.010.010.01
5. Give antiviral medicines in advance for prevention purposes0.280.260.21