Trigonometric Regression for Analysis of Public Health Surveillance Data

Table 1

A portion of the weekly report for the week ending April 26, 2014, showing the status of just the first eleven diseases. The red flag (circled) indicates a point above the upper control limit. Altogether, there were three “red flags” for this week, with the other two not shown in this table.

Disease	Week 17 count	YTD count	Previous YTD count	Flag	Next week upper control limit
Anaplasma phagocytophilum	1	3	0		1.1
Botulism infant	0	2	1		0
Brucellosis	0	0	1		0
Campylobacteriosis	8	99	163		24.1
Coccidioidomycosis	0	5	2		1.3
Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (CJD)	0	1	5		1
Cryptosporidiosis	1	36	50		6.2
Cyclosporiasis	0	0	0		0
Dengue fever	0	2	0		0
E. coli Shiga toxin positive	0	24	21		5.4
E. coli O157	0	11	19		4.8

Missouri Department of Health and Senior Services.
DESTEM report for Week 17, week ending, April 26, 2014.
State.