Adaptive Combination Forecasting Model Based on Area Correlation Degree with Application to China’s Energy Consumption

Table 5

Forecasting results of China’s energy consumption by combination model (BP, GM, and TESM) based on ACD in 2011~2018 (unit: ten thousand tons of standard coal).

Year	BP	GM	TESM	Combination forecasting based on ACD
2011	350628.9	351497.7	353249.2	351689.2
2012	372956.5	380137.5	379373.2	377055.2
2013	394915.3	411111.0	406722.5	403343.7
2014	425057.9	444608.1	435297.2	434003.6
2015	450432.6	480834.5	465097.3	463958.6
2016	490235.2	520012.6	496122.6	500889.0
2017	531573.5	562383.0	528373.3	539752.6
2018	572568.4	608205.7	561849.4	579881.2