Research Article

Which Part of a Short, Global Risk Assessment, the Risk Instrument for Screening in the Community, Predicts Adverse Healthcare Outcomes?

Table 2

Comparison of the accuracy and area under the curve (AUC) scores with 95% confidence intervals (CI), of the Risk Instrument for Screening in the Community (RISC), the caregiver network for each domain and a selection of cognitive and functional tests including the Barthel Index, abbreviated mental test score, Charlson Comorbidity Index, and the Clinical Frailty Score.

VariableInstitutionalization Hospitalization Death
AUC (95% CI)AUC (95% CI)AUC (95% CI)

RISC global risk score0.70 (0.62–0.76)***0.61 (0.55–0.66)***0.70 (0.64–0.75)***
 Mental state caregiver  network 0.64 (0.57–0.71)***0.53 (0.47–0.58)0.56 (0.50–0.61)
 ADL caregiver  network 0.68 (0.62–0.74)***0.57 (0.52–0.63)**0.59 (0.53–0.65)**
 Medical state caregiver  network 0.63 (0.56–0.69)***0.54 (0.49–0.59)0.56 (0.50–0.61)*
Barthel Index0.67 (0.61–0.73)***0.58 (0.50–0.61)*0.65 (0.60–0.71)***
Abbreviated mental test score0.66 (0.59–0.73)***0.51 (0.46–0.56)0.51 (0.46–0.57)
Charlson Comorbidity Index0.55 (0.49–0.62)0.57 (0.52–0.62)**0.66 (0.60–0.72)***
Clinical Frailty Scale0.63 (0.57–0.67)***0.55 (0.50–0.61)*0.67 (0.61–0.72)***
PHNs perception of frailty0.56 (0.49–0.62)0.53 (0.47–0.58)0.64 (0.59–0.70)***

Statistically significant with value <0.05.
**Statistically significant with value <0.01.
***Statistically significant with value <0.001.