Research Article

A Bayesian Network Approach to Causation Analysis of Road Accidents Using Netica

Table 3

Sensitivity analysis result of the node “crash type.”

NodeMutual infoPercentVariance of beliefs

Crash type2.829781000.7195390
Driver’s apparent error0.5721720.20.0869963
Vehicle movement0.33948120.0351281
Total casualties0.215637.620.0057073
Crash severity0.178976.320.0037534
Road geometry0.040441.430.0008944
Total serious injuries0.018880.6670.0004707
Traffic control0.011250.3980.0001573
Road moisture condition0.005030.1780.0001027
Light condition0.004170.1470.0000915
Total estimated damage0.004070.1440.0000533
Total units involved0.003940.1390.0002397
Weather condition0.003130.1110.0000638
Vehicle type0.000000.0000.0000000