Research Article
Short-Term Origin-Destination Based Metro Flow Prediction with Probabilistic Model Selection Approach
Table 3
The MAPE of outflow on weekdays.
| Station | Combined | ARMA | NN | SVR | Averaging | Adaboost | kNN |
| 1 | 12.37 | 16.03 | 12.91 | 12.38 | 12.57 | 12.31 | 11.97 | 2 | 15.66 | 17.62 | 14.89 | 14.24 | 15.84 | 15.25 | 13.54 | 3 | 10.27 | 16.36 | 12.21 | 10.77 | 10.48 | 10.56 | 10.73 | 4 | 11.35 | 17.51 | 14.08 | 12.85 | 11.56 | 11.57 | 11.96 | 5 | 11.78 | 17.99 | 13.82 | 12.54 | 11.99 | 11.92 | 10.72 | 6 | 10.63 | 22.2 | 14.77 | 12.12 | 10.84 | 10.96 | 11.77 | 7 | 11.73 | 17.43 | 12.97 | 11.42 | 11.94 | 11.86 | 12.11 | 8 | 9.85 | 15.71 | 10.6 | 11.64 | 10.06 | 9.97 | 14.13 | 9 | 10.44 | 14.73 | 11.35 | 12.4 | 10.67 | 10.70 | 16.31 | 10 | 11.53 | 19.5 | 13.33 | 12.18 | 11.75 | 11.66 | 14.79 | 11 | 10.71 | 18.62 | 12.9 | 11.4 | 10.92 | 11.04 | 13.37 | 12 | 10.47 | 21.14 | 13.1 | 11.23 | 10.69 | 10.76 | 10.94 | 13 | 10.59 | 22.16 | 15.54 | 11.3 | 10.81 | 11.94 | 11.76 | 14 | 11.55 | 20.18 | 15.68 | 13 | 11.77 | 11.84 | 11.90 | 15 | 10.55 | 32.62 | 14.31 | 11.18 | 10.76 | 10.82 | 11.47 | 16 | 12.78 | 20.56 | 16.31 | 14.09 | 12.98 | 13.10 | 12.38 | 17 | 11.93 | 22.3 | 15.62 | 11.89 | 12.12 | 11.98 | 11.87 | 18 | 12.40 | 13.95 | 11.48 | 12.27 | 12.59 | 12.07 | 12.39 | 19 | 12.30 | 15.37 | 12.8 | 13.31 | 12.50 | 12.26 | 12.52 |
| # of best | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Average | 11.51 | 18.49 | 13.61 | 12.22 | 11.73 | 11.66 | 12.43 |
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