Research Article
Short-Term Origin-Destination Based Metro Flow Prediction with Probabilistic Model Selection Approach
Table 9
The VAPE of outflow at each station on weekends.
| Station | Combined | ARMA | NN | SVR | Averaging | Adaboost | kNN |
| 1 | 0.99 | 1.6 | 1.06 | 1.22 | 0.99 | 0.94 | 1.09 | 2 | 1.00 | 1.37 | 1.06 | 1.13 | 1.00 | 0.98 | 0.9 | 3 | 0.86 | 1.65 | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.85 | 0.92 | 1.06 | 4 | 0.99 | 1.92 | 1.26 | 1.24 | 0.99 | 1.03 | 1.18 | 5 | 0.75 | 1.54 | 1.45 | 0.97 | 0.75 | 0.74 | 0.68 | 6 | 0.69 | 3.05 | 1.16 | 0.90 | 0.71 | 0.70 | 0.88 | 7 | 0.81 | 1.74 | 0.98 | 0.89 | 0.81 | 0.82 | 0.99 | 8 | 0.87 | 1.91 | 1.18 | 1.45 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 1.36 | 9 | 1.00 | 1.64 | 0.86 | 1.74 | 1.04 | 1.09 | 1.95 | 10 | 0.79 | 2.3 | 1.12 | 1.11 | 0.80 | 0.82 | 1.35 | 11 | 0.84 | 2.43 | 1.29 | 1.17 | 0.84 | 0.88 | 1.38 | 12 | 0.72 | 2.94 | 3.14 | 1.16 | 0.73 | 0.80 | 1.03 | 13 | 0.77 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.92 | 0.79 | 0.94 | 1.12 | 14 | 0.83 | 2.72 | 1.68 | 1.49 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.99 | 15 | 0.73 | 6.28 | 2.12 | 0.72 | 0.74 | 0.8 | 0.84 | 16 | 0.94 | 2.58 | 1.52 | 1.4 | 0.94 | 0.96 | 0.89 | 17 | 0.89 | 3.17 | 1.26 | 1.06 | 0.89 | 0.88 | 0.87 | 18 | 1.34 | 1.84 | 1.36 | 1.58 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.57 | 19 | 2.13 | 2.73 | 2.20 | 3.86 | 2.11 | 2.07 | 2.22 |
| # of best | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | Average | 0.94 | 2.45 | 1.49 | 1.31 | 0.95 | 0.97 | 1.18 |
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