Research Article

Short-Term Origin-Destination Based Metro Flow Prediction with Probabilistic Model Selection Approach

Table 9

The VAPE of outflow at each station on weekends.

Station Combined ARMA NN SVR Averaging Adaboost kNN

10.991.61.061.220.990.941.09
21.001.37 1.061.131.000.980.9
30.861.650.920.870.850.921.06
40.991.921.261.240.991.031.18
50.751.541.450.970.750.740.68
60.693.051.160.900.710.700.88
70.811.740.980.890.810.820.99
80.871.911.181.450.880.881.36
91.001.640.861.741.041.091.95
100.792.31.121.110.800.821.35
110.842.431.291.170.840.881.38
120.722.943.141.160.730.801.03
130.773.21.50.920.790.941.12
140.832.721.681.490.830.850.99
150.736.282.120.720.740.80.84
160.942.581.521.40.940.960.89
170.893.171.26 1.060.890.880.87
181.341.84 1.361.581.331.331.57
192.132.732.203.862.112.072.22

# of best 11 0 1 1 1 5 0
Average0.94 2.45 1.49 1.31 0.95 0.97 1.18