Research Article

Estimation of Disease Transmission in Multimodal Transportation Networks

Table 6

Demand distribution estimation and the error of estimation for other province-level destination regions outside the province of Hubei.

DestinationReal conditionEst. resultsErrorError ratio (%)

Henan284000.00250214.37−33785.63−11.90
Hunan174000.00187131.6613131.667.55
Anhui113500.00144540.7531040.7527.35
Jiangxi106000.00128569.1222569.1221.29
Guangdong97000.0044218.78−52781.22−54.41
Jiangsu73000.0088634.8815634.8821.42
Chongqing63500.0042893.78−20606.22−32.45
Sichuan62000.0020641.30−41358.70−66.71
Shandong55000.0027805.30−27194.70−49.44
Zhejiang53500.0045031.19−8468.81−15.83
Hebei46500.0040775.05−5724.95−12.31
Fujian45500.0036048.21−9451.79−20.77
Beijing43000.0026050.15−16949.85−39.42
Guangxi39500.0014846.45−24653.55−62.41
Shanxi36000.0037590.591590.594.42
Shanghai33000.0036512.913512.9110.65
Shanxi29500.0022472.40−7027.60−23.82
Guizhou27500.0021864.32−5635.68−20.49
Yunnan26500.008502.62−17997.38−67.91
Hainan19000.002387.83−16612.17−87.43
Gansu17500.008962.46−8537.54−48.79
Liaoning16500.002702.27−13797.73−83.62
Heilongjiang14000.001237.75−12762.25−91.16
Xinjiang10000.0068.07−9931.93−99.32
Inner Mongolia9000.006731.88−2268.12−25.20
Jilin8500.001706.55−6793.45−79.92
Tianjin7500.0018275.5610775.56143.67
Ningxia4000.003969.71−30.29−0.76
Qinghai3000.003140.77140.774.69
Tibet1000.004156.123156.12315.61
Others19500.0018317.04−1182.96−6.07